Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CA Mitre vs Acassuso

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Aurinegro, Santiago del Estero
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Machado M.
23'
Reynoso R.
43'
Minissale P.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between CA Mitre and Acassuso finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CA Mitre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
CA Mitre
35%
Draws
16%
Acassuso
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CA Mitre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CA Mitre come out ahead of Acassuso on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on CA Mitre taking it.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
CA Mitre Clean Sheet 68%
Acassuso Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Mitre Acassuso
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 4
Draws 13 8
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 0.96 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Primera Nacional
CA Mitre vs Acassuso
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Mitre Compare

Top Goalscorer Machado M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zarate J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Acassuso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Mitre 46 / 100
Acassuso 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Mitre Acassuso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CA Mitre scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Acassuso has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: CA Mitre remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CA Mitre VS Acassuso
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Mitre

(Home)
04 Sept
Ferro
0 : 0
CA Mitre
30 Aug
CA Mitre
2 : 2
Central Norte
21 Aug
Deportivo Madryn
4 : 0
CA Mitre
15 Aug
CA Mitre
1 : 1
Club Atletico Guemes
09 Aug
CA Mitre
2 : 1
Defensores de Belgrano
Page 1 of 6

Acassuso

(Away)
05 Sept
Acassuso
0 : 1
All Boys
31 Aug
Los Andes
0 : 0
Acassuso
26 Aug
Acassuso
1 : 2
San Telmo
21 Aug
Acassuso
0 : 1
Godoy Cruz
14 Aug
Acassuso
1 : 1
Midland
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 28 16 6 6 34:25 54
2 Deportivo Moron 28 15 7 6 45:26 52
3 Deportivo Madryn 28 12 10 6 41:26 46
4 Godoy Cruz 28 13 7 8 34:25 46
5 Colon Santa Fe 28 12 9 7 35:23 45
6 Almirante Brown 28 12 9 7 23:16 45
7 Ciudad Bolivar 29 9 12 8 24:26 39
8 Los Andes 28 8 12 8 21:16 36
9 CA Estudiantes 28 9 9 10 25:25 36
10 Racing Cordoba 28 9 8 11 25:32 35
11 Chaco For Ever 28 8 8 12 26:29 32
12 CA Mitre 28 6 13 9 27:35 31
13 Central Norte 29 6 13 10 19:27 31
14 All Boys 29 6 13 10 16:25 31
15 San Telmo 29 7 10 12 23:33 31
16 Defensores de Belgrano 28 6 12 10 20:25 30
17 San Miguel 28 6 11 11 22:32 29
18 Acassuso 28 5 8 15 19:33 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 28 14 10 4 31:15 52
2 Temperley 28 13 10 5 33:23 49
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 28 14 7 7 42:34 49
4 Atletico Atlanta 29 15 3 11 34:28 48
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 29 12 9 8 31:26 45
6 Midland 28 11 8 9 31:25 41
7 San Martin S.J. 28 11 8 9 31:27 41
8 Deportivo Maipu 29 11 7 11 36:30 40
9 Colegiales 29 11 7 11 29:28 40
10 Atl. Rafaela 28 10 9 9 20:22 39
11 San Martin T. 28 8 12 8 27:26 36
12 Quilmes 29 9 8 12 28:24 35
13 Almagro 29 9 8 12 25:33 35
14 Agropecuario 28 8 9 11 25:31 33
15 Nueva Chicago 29 8 8 13 21:28 32
16 Patronato 28 5 14 9 23:30 29
17 Chacarita Juniors 28 7 6 15 19:30 27
18 Club Atletico Guemes 29 5 8 16 23:49 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)