Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CA Mitre vs Acassuso

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Aurinegro
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Machado M.
23'
Reynoso R.
43'
Minissale P.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between CA Mitre and Acassuso finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CA Mitre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
CA Mitre
33%
Draws
40%
Acassuso
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Acassuso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Acassuso come out ahead of CA Mitre on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Acassuso taking it.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
CA Mitre Clean Sheet 21%
Acassuso Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Mitre Acassuso
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 9
Draws 12 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Primera Nacional
CA Mitre vs Acassuso
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Mitre Compare

Top Goalscorer Machado M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zarate J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Acassuso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Mitre 29 / 100
Acassuso 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Mitre Acassuso

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CA Mitre scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Acassuso has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: Acassuso has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CA Mitre VS Acassuso
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro21134425:1443
2Deportivo Moron20105529:1935
3Colon Santa Fe2198427:1735
4Los Andes2088419:832
5Ciudad Bolivar21710419:1631
6CA Estudiantes2187618:1631
7Almirante Brown2187615:1331
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2166920:2524
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13All Boys21410713:2022
14CA Mitre2149820:2721
15San Telmo2048816:2120
16Acassuso20541115:2319
17Central Norte2047912:2119
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
3Temperley21810321:1734
4Tristan Suarez2089317:1133
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2179519:1530
7Deportivo Maipu2185827:2129
8Atl. Rafaela2176815:1827
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago2068618:1826
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales2065918:2023
15Chacarita Juniors2065916:2123
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2148915:2520
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419