Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CA Mitre vs Almirante Brown

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Aurinegro, Santiago del Estero
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CA Mitre host Almirante Brown in the Primera Nacional. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: CA Mitre at 1.13 goals for, 1.63 against; Almirante Brown at 0.75 for, 0.5 against. Head-to-head, CA Mitre have won 2 to Almirante Brown's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.19, favoring Almirante Brown. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
CA Mitre
6%
Draws
90%
Almirante Brown
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Almirante Brown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • CA Mitre haven't matched Almirante Brown's recent run of results.
  • Almirante Brown are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
CA Mitre Clean Sheet 20%
Almirante Brown Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Mitre Almirante Brown
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 11 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs CA Mitre
3:1
Jul 20, 2025 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs CA Mitre
2:0
Mar 16, 2025 Primera Nacional
CA Mitre vs Almirante Brown
1:0
Jul 27, 2024 Primera Nacional
CA Mitre vs Almirante Brown
2:1
Mar 10, 2024 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs CA Mitre
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Mitre 10 / 100
Almirante Brown 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Mitre Almirante Brown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Mitre scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Almirante Brown let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: CA Mitre stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CA Mitre VS Almirante Brown
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Mitre

(Home)
17 Jul
CA Mitre
1 : 0
Racing Cordoba
11 Jul
CA Estudiantes
3 : 0
CA Mitre
05 Jul
CA Mitre
1 : 1
All Boys
21 Jun
Almirante Brown
3 : 1
CA Mitre
14 Jun
CA Mitre
0 : 3
Los Andes
Page 1 of 6

Almirante Brown

(Away)
17 Jul
Almirante Brown
0 : 0
CA Estudiantes
11 Jul
All Boys
1 : 1
Almirante Brown
04 Jul
Almirante Brown
1 : 0
Los Andes
21 Jun
Almirante Brown
3 : 1
CA Mitre
14 Jun
Almirante Brown
1 : 0
Godoy Cruz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro21134425:1443
2Deportivo Moron20105529:1935
3Colon Santa Fe2198427:1735
4Los Andes2088419:832
5Ciudad Bolivar21710419:1631
6CA Estudiantes2187618:1631
7Almirante Brown2187615:1331
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2166920:2524
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13All Boys21410713:2022
14CA Mitre2149820:2721
15San Telmo2048816:2120
16Acassuso20541115:2319
17Central Norte2047912:2119
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
3Temperley21810321:1734
4Tristan Suarez2089317:1133
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2179519:1530
7Deportivo Maipu2185827:2129
8Atl. Rafaela2176815:1827
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago2068618:1826
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales2065918:2023
15Chacarita Juniors2065916:2123
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2148915:2520
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)