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CA Mitre vs Defensores de Belgrano Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Aurinegro, Santiago del Estero
CA Mitre Logo

CA Mitre

2 - 1
FT
Defensores de Belgrano Logo

Defensores de Belgrano

Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Sub
Landriel L. In: Acosta D. A. I.
Out: Landriel L.
13'
Cabral F.
19' Event
Machado M.
Assist: Avaro E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CA Mitre in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CA Mitre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
CA Mitre
30%
Draws
47%
Defensores de Belgrano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Defensores de Belgrano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • CA Mitre haven't matched Defensores de Belgrano's recent run of results.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
CA Mitre Clean Sheet 19%
Defensores de Belgrano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Mitre Defensores de Belgrano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 13 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.93 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Primera Nacional
CA Mitre vs Defensores de Belgrano
2:1
Mar 21, 2026 Primera Nacional
Defensores de Belgrano vs CA Mitre
0:0
Sep 7, 2025 Primera Nacional
CA Mitre vs Defensores de Belgrano
1:2
May 6, 2025 Primera Nacional
Defensores de Belgrano vs CA Mitre
1:0
Oct 19, 2024 Primera Nacional
Defensores de Belgrano vs CA Mitre
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Mitre Compare

Top Goalscorer Machado M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Defensores de Belgrano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Mitre 36 / 100
Defensores de Belgrano 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Mitre Defensores de Belgrano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Defensores de Belgrano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Mitre found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

CA Mitre has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Defensores de Belgrano conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

CA Mitre VS Defensores de Belgrano
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Mitre

(Home)
03 Oct
San Miguel
0 : 2
CA Mitre
27 Sept
CA Mitre
0 : 2
San Telmo
19 Sept
Acassuso
2 : 0
CA Mitre
13 Sept
CA Mitre
0 : 0
Chaco For Ever
04 Sept
Ferro
0 : 0
CA Mitre
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Defensores de Belgrano

(Away)
27 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
0 : 1
Ferro
20 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 1
Defensores de Belgrano
14 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
2 : 1
Deportivo Madryn
09 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
1 : 1
Los Andes
04 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
3 : 0
Racing Cordoba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
4 Godoy Cruz 31 15 8 8 40:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 31 12 10 9 23:18 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 31 9 13 9 24:21 40
10 Chaco For Ever 31 9 9 13 28:31 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 31 8 12 11 23:27 36
12 Racing Cordoba 31 9 9 13 28:38 36
13 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
14 San Telmo 31 8 10 13 25:34 34
15 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
16 Central Norte 31 6 14 11 19:28 32
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
4 Atletico Atlanta 31 16 4 11 35:28 52
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 31 13 9 9 32:27 48
6 Midland 31 13 8 10 34:26 47
7 San Martin S.J. 31 12 9 10 33:30 45
8 Deportivo Maipu 31 12 8 11 38:31 44
9 Colegiales 31 12 7 12 31:31 43
10 Atl. Rafaela 31 11 9 11 25:27 42
11 San Martin T. 31 9 13 9 34:32 40
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Nueva Chicago 31 9 9 13 23:29 36
14 Agropecuario 31 9 9 13 26:35 36
15 Almagro 31 9 8 14 26:37 35
16 Patronato 31 6 16 9 27:31 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 31 8 6 17 23:33 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 31 5 8 18 23:53 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)