Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CA Osasuna W vs Villarreal W

Spain Spain

Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Lauris
86' Event
Romero M.
90' Event
Jimenez C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Villarreal W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
CA Osasuna W
11%
Draws
80%
Villarreal W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Villarreal W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Villarreal W come out ahead of CA Osasuna W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Villarreal W a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Villarreal W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Villarreal W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Villarreal W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
CA Osasuna W Clean Sheet 21%
Villarreal W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Osasuna W Villarreal W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 10
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 0.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Primera Federacion Women
Villarreal W vs CA Osasuna W
3:1
May 9, 2026 Primera Federacion Women
CA Osasuna W vs Villarreal W
1:2
Feb 7, 2026 Primera Federacion Women
Villarreal W vs CA Osasuna W
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
CA Osasuna W vs Villarreal W
0:2
Mar 1, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
CA Osasuna W vs Villarreal W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Osasuna W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Villarreal W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lauris
1 Goals
Assists Leader Romero M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Osasuna W 12 / 100
Villarreal W 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Osasuna W Villarreal W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villarreal W has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: CA Osasuna W scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

CA Osasuna W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CA Osasuna W VS Villarreal W
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Osasuna W

(Home)
17 May
Villarreal W
3 : 1
CA Osasuna W
09 May
CA Osasuna W
1 : 2
Villarreal W
02 May
CA Osasuna W
1 : 1
Alaves W
25 Apr
SE AEM W
1 : 0
CA Osasuna W
04 Apr
CA Osasuna W
1 : 2
Barcelona B W
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Villarreal W

(Away)
30 May
Valencia W
1 : 1
Villarreal W
23 May
Villarreal W
0 : 0
Valencia W
17 May
Villarreal W
3 : 1
CA Osasuna W
09 May
CA Osasuna W
1 : 2
Villarreal W
02 May
Real Madrid B W
1 : 1
Villarreal W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Valencia W4
Albacete W3
Villarreal W5
CA Osasuna W2
Final
Valencia W1
Villarreal W1