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CA Porto vs Retro

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Retro in this Pernambucano 2 2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Retro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
CA Porto
30%
Draws
34%
Retro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CA Porto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Retro have won more games recently than CA Porto.
  • Win probability leans CA Porto's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Retro have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
CA Porto Clean Sheet 20%
Retro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Porto Retro
Matches Played 36 35
Wins 8 14
Draws 15 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2024 Pernambucano
Retro vs CA Porto
4:0
Feb 4, 2023 Pernambucano
Retro vs CA Porto
1:0
Oct 30, 2019 Pernambucano 2
Retro vs CA Porto
2:1
Oct 27, 2019 Pernambucano 2
CA Porto vs Retro
0:1
Sep 8, 2019 Pernambucano 2
Retro vs CA Porto
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Porto 36 / 100
Retro 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Porto Retro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Retro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 35 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: CA Porto remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

CA Porto's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Retro
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vera Cruz54018:312
2Retro53206:111
3Decisao52214:18
4CA Porto51134:64
5Ibis Sport Club51133:54
6Centro Limoeirense51043:123