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CA Porto vs Retro

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Pernambucano 2 2019
CA Porto Logo

CA Porto

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Retro Logo

Retro

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Retro in this Pernambucano 2 2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Retro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
CA Porto
35%
Draws
37%
Retro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Retro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Retro have won more games recently than CA Porto.
  • Win probability leans CA Porto's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Retro have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
CA Porto Clean Sheet 20%
Retro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Porto Retro
Matches Played 35 37
Wins 8 15
Draws 14 9
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.83 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2024 Pernambucano
Retro vs CA Porto
4:0
Feb 4, 2023 Pernambucano
Retro vs CA Porto
1:0
Oct 30, 2019 Pernambucano 2
Retro vs CA Porto
2:1
Oct 27, 2019 Pernambucano 2
CA Porto vs Retro
0:1
Sep 8, 2019 Pernambucano 2
Retro vs CA Porto
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Porto 36 / 100
Retro 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Porto Retro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Retro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 37 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: CA Porto remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

CA Porto's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Retro
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Porto

(Home)
11 Oct
Academica Vitoria
3 : 2
CA Porto
08 Oct
CA Porto
1 : 0
Aguia FC
04 Oct
Caruaru
0 : 0
CA Porto
27 Sept
CA Porto
0 : 0
Ypiranga
17 Sept
CA Porto
0 : 0
Academica Vitoria
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Retro

(Away)
14 Jun
Retro
3 : 0
Treze PB
31 May
Serra Branca
0 : 0
Retro
24 May
Retro
1 : 1
Lagarto
17 May
Retro
2 : 1
Decisao
09 May
Sergipe
1 : 0
Retro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vera Cruz 5 4 0 1 8:3 12
2 Retro 5 3 2 0 6:1 11
3 Decisao 5 2 2 1 4:1 8
4 CA Porto 5 1 1 3 4:6 4
5 Ibis Sport Club 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
6 Centro Limoeirense 5 1 0 4 3:12 3
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2019 (Third stage)