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CA Pulpileno vs CD Algar Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Cobo M.
65' Event
Morales R.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 game between CA Pulpileno and CD Algar finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CA Pulpileno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
CA Pulpileno
30%
Draws
8%
CD Algar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CA Pulpileno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • CA Pulpileno carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans CA Pulpileno's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors CA Pulpileno here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
CA Pulpileno Clean Sheet 68%
CD Algar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Pulpileno CD Algar
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 16 6
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.15 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CA Pulpileno vs CD Algar
2:0
Apr 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CD Algar vs CA Pulpileno
0:3
Nov 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CA Pulpileno vs CD Algar
0:0
Feb 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CD Algar vs CA Pulpileno
1:2
Sep 30, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CA Pulpileno vs CD Algar
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Pulpileno Compare

Top Goalscorer Cobo M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morales R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

CD Algar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.33

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Pulpileno 95 / 100
CD Algar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Pulpileno CD Algar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CA Pulpileno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Algar conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

CA Pulpileno found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (34 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: CA Pulpileno remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CA Pulpileno VS CD Algar
1 Goals Scored 0.2
1 Goals Conceded 1.8
75% Over 1.5 80%
13% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Pulpileno

(Home)
27 Sept
Cotillas CD
1 : 2
CA Pulpileno
20 Sept
CA Pulpileno
0 : 0
Bullas Deportivo
12 Sept
Alcantarilla
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
05 Sept
CA Pulpileno
2 : 0
CD Algar
10 May
CA Pulpileno
0 : 1
Mazarron FC
Page 1 of 7

CD Algar

(Away)
27 Sept
CD Algar
1 : 2
Deportivo Maritimo
20 Sept
Santomera
2 : 0
CD Algar
13 Sept
CD Algar
0 : 3
Bullas Deportivo
05 Sept
CA Pulpileno
2 : 0
CD Algar
24 Aug
CD Algar
0 : 0
Minerva
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santomera 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
2 CA Pulpileno 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
3 Alcantarilla 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
4 San Javier 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
5 Molinense 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
6 UCAM Murcia B 4 1 2 1 8:5 5
7 Bullas Deportivo 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
8 Santa Cruz 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
9 Club Olimpico de Totana 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
10 UD Los Garres 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
11 Bala Azul 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
12 Minerva 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
13 FC Cartagena SAD B 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
14 Aguilas FC B 4 0 4 0 4:4 4
15 Cotillas CD 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
16 Deportivo Maritimo 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
17 Mazarron FC 4 0 1 3 5:8 1
18 CD Algar 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)