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CA Rondoniense vs Ji-Parana

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Rondoniense
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CA Rondoniense play Ji-Parana in the Rondoniense. Ji-Parana are favorites here. Recently, CA Rondoniense averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Ji-Parana averaged 1.34 goals scored and 0.59 conceded. In past meetings, CA Rondoniense won 1, Ji-Parana won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 18, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for CA Rondoniense and 1.00 for Ji-Parana. This points to a Ji-Parana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
CA Rondoniense
25%
Draws
60%
Ji-Parana
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Ji-Parana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • CA Rondoniense picked up more points recently compared to Ji-Parana.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 17%
Over 4.5 Goals 8%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
CA Rondoniense Clean Sheet 23%
Ji-Parana Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 52%
Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Rondoniense Ji-Parana
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 16
Draws 6 9
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 0.87 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Rondoniense
Ji-Parana vs CA Rondoniense
0:1
Mar 15, 2026 Rondoniense
CA Rondoniense vs Ji-Parana
1:1
Feb 12, 2026 Rondoniense
CA Rondoniense vs Ji-Parana
0:1
Feb 1, 2026 Rondoniense
Ji-Parana vs CA Rondoniense
1:0
Mar 26, 2023 Rondoniense
Ji-Parana vs CA Rondoniense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Rondoniense Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomes L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ji-Parana Compare

Top Goalscorer Palacios J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Rondoniense 18 / 100
Ji-Parana 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Rondoniense Ji-Parana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ji-Parana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Ji-Parana & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +27.4%
4.55
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CA Rondoniense attacking → ← attacking Ji-Parana

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Rondoniense scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Ji-Parana let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

CA Rondoniense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ji-Parana lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 57
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25