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Caac Brazil vs Paraty

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Barroi
22' Event
De Oliveira Casanova M.
61' Event
Santanna M.

AI Match Summary

The Carioca C 2025 game between Caac Brazil and Paraty finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paraty.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Caac Brazil
20%
Draws
38%
Paraty
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caac Brazil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Paraty carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Caac Brazil a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Caac Brazil Clean Sheet 14%
Paraty Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caac Brazil Paraty
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 12
Draws 2 5
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2025 Carioca C
Caac Brazil vs Paraty
0:5
May 16, 2024 Carioca C
Caac Brazil vs Paraty
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caac Brazil Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Paraty Compare

Top Goalscorer Barroi
2 Goals
Assists Leader De Oliveira Casanova M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caac Brazil 41 / 100
Paraty 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caac Brazil Paraty

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Paraty has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Caac Brazil has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Caac Brazil scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Caac Brazil VS Paraty
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Caac Brazil

(Home)
12 Jul
Uniao Central
3 : 1
Caac Brazil
06 Jul
Caac Brazil
2 : 2
Uniao Central
03 Jul
Caac Brazil
0 : 2
Barcelona EC
28 Jun
EC Vera Cruz
1 : 2
Caac Brazil
07 Jun
Caac Brazil
3 : 1
Itaborai Profute
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Paraty

(Away)
09 Nov
Goytacaz
3 : 2
Paraty
06 Nov
Paraty
0 : 1
Santa Cruz RJ
26 Oct
Barra Mansa
1 : 2
Paraty
20 Oct
Paraty
1 : 1
7 de Abril
12 Oct
Serra Macaense
2 : 2
Paraty
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Paraty1291233:1128
2Santa Cruz RJ1283139:1427
3Riostrense1282229:1126
4Uniao Central1273234:1824
5Juventus RJ1273224:924
6EC Vera Cruz1262418:1120
7Angra dos Reis1261524:2119
8Rio Barra1140712:2412
9Buzios1240816:3312
10Duque Caxiense1231815:1910
11Caac Brazil1230910:359
12Mesquita122198:287
13Barcelona EC111195:334
Promotion - Carioca C 2025 (Play Offs)