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Caac Brazil vs Rio Barra

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C 2025
Sun, Jun 29, 2025
3 - 0
05:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caac Brazil host Rio Barra in the Carioca C 2025. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Caac Brazil at 0.83 goals for, 2.43 against; Rio Barra at 1.1 for, 1.59 against. Head-to-head, Caac Brazil have won 1 to Rio Barra's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 29, 2025, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.81) point toward Rio Barra. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Caac Brazil
30%
Draws
29%
Rio Barra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caac Brazil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Caac Brazil haven't matched Rio Barra's recent run of results.
  • 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Carioca C 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Caac Brazil Clean Sheet 11%
Rio Barra Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caac Brazil Rio Barra
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 2 4
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 0.83 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2025 Carioca C
Caac Brazil vs Rio Barra
3:0
Jun 16, 2024 Carioca C
Caac Brazil vs Rio Barra
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caac Brazil 35 / 100
Rio Barra 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caac Brazil Rio Barra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Barra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rio Barra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Caac Brazil went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Caac Brazil found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Caac Brazil VS Rio Barra
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Caac Brazil

(Home)
12 Jul
Uniao Central
3 : 1
Caac Brazil
06 Jul
Caac Brazil
2 : 2
Uniao Central
03 Jul
Caac Brazil
0 : 2
Barcelona EC
28 Jun
EC Vera Cruz
1 : 2
Caac Brazil
07 Jun
Caac Brazil
3 : 1
Itaborai Profute
Page 1 of 6

Rio Barra

(Away)
12 Jul
Buzios
1 : 1
Rio Barra
06 Jul
Rio Barra
0 : 1
Buzios
03 Jul
Rio Barra
1 : 1
Tigres Brasil
28 Jun
Grande Rio Brescia Clube
0 : 2
Rio Barra
07 Jun
Rio Barra
0 : 4
Campos AA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paraty 12 9 1 2 33:11 28
2 Santa Cruz RJ 12 8 3 1 39:14 27
3 Riostrense 12 8 2 2 29:11 26
4 Uniao Central 12 7 3 2 34:18 24
5 Juventus RJ 12 7 3 2 24:9 24
6 EC Vera Cruz 12 6 2 4 18:11 20
7 Angra dos Reis 12 6 1 5 24:21 19
8 Rio Barra 11 4 0 7 12:24 12
9 Buzios 12 4 0 8 16:33 12
10 Duque Caxiense 12 3 1 8 15:19 10
11 Caac Brazil 12 3 0 9 10:35 9
12 Mesquita 12 2 1 9 8:28 7
13 Barcelona EC 11 1 1 9 5:33 4
Promotion - Carioca C 2025 (Play Offs)