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Cabecense vs AD Ceuta B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Dominguez L.
54' Event
Ogbuehi S.
86' Event
Taufek B. M.

AI Match Summary

AD Ceuta B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Ceuta B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Cabecense
30%
Draws
39%
AD Ceuta B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AD Ceuta B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • AD Ceuta B have won more games recently than Cabecense.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on AD Ceuta B taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • AD Ceuta B have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Cabecense Clean Sheet 25%
AD Ceuta B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cabecense AD Ceuta B
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.7 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cabecense vs AD Ceuta B
1:3
Oct 7, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs Cabecense
0:0
Jan 29, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs Cabecense
3:1
Oct 9, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cabecense vs AD Ceuta B
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cabecense Compare

Top Goalscorer Dominguez L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

AD Ceuta B Compare

Top Goalscorer Ogbuehi S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Taufek B. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cabecense 21 / 100
AD Ceuta B 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cabecense AD Ceuta B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Ceuta B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: AD Ceuta B conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Cabecense scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Cabecense stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS AD Ceuta B
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cabecense

(Home)
12 May
Ciudad de Lucena
3 : 0
Cabecense
05 May
Cabecense
1 : 1
Ayamonte
01 May
Coria C.F.
2 : 0
Cabecense
27 Apr
Cabecense
2 : 1
La Palma CF
21 Apr
Xerez Deportivo FC
4 : 0
Cabecense
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AD Ceuta B

(Away)
04 Aug
Xerez CD
2 : 0
AD Ceuta B
23 May
Dos Hermanas
4 : 2
AD Ceuta B
17 May
AD Ceuta B
2 : 2
Dos Hermanas
10 May
San Roque de Lepe
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
03 May
AD Ceuta B
2 : 2
Castilleja CF
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Xerez CD 34 19 10 5 53:21 67
2 Ciudad de Lucena 34 19 9 6 39:21 66
3 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 18 10 6 50:23 64
4 Pozoblanco 34 18 8 8 49:36 62
5 AD Ceuta B 34 15 11 8 47:27 56
6 Puente Genil 34 13 15 6 52:45 54
7 Inter Sevilla 34 14 7 13 38:40 49
8 CD Utrera 34 13 7 14 50:48 46
9 AD Cartaya 34 12 9 13 35:34 45
10 La Palma CF 34 11 8 15 49:52 41
11 Bollullos 34 8 14 12 31:44 38
12 Conil 34 9 10 15 29:40 37
13 Cordoba B 34 8 13 13 37:43 37
14 Atletico Espeleno 34 10 7 17 41:53 37
15 Coria C.F. 34 9 9 16 42:54 36
16 Sevilla C 34 8 11 15 28:35 35
17 Ayamonte 34 7 11 16 32:47 32
18 Cabecense 34 7 7 20 25:64 28
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 (Play Offs)