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Cabense vs Carpina SC

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2012
Cabense Logo

Cabense

1 - 0
FT
Carpina SC Logo

Carpina SC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cabense in this Pernambucano 2 2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cabense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Cabense
20%
Draws
56%
Carpina SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Carpina SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Carpina SC lately — more wins on the board than Cabense.
  • Model gives Carpina SC a 56% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Cabense Clean Sheet 20%
Carpina SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cabense Carpina SC
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 10 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.31 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Cabense vs Carpina SC
1:0
Jul 15, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Carpina SC vs Cabense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cabense 10 / 100
Carpina SC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cabense Carpina SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carpina SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cabense scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Carpina SC let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Cabense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Cabense VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cabense

(Home)
15 Sept
Decisao
3 : 1
Cabense
07 Sept
Cabense
1 : 1
Decisao
31 Aug
Ipojuca
0 : 1
Cabense
24 Aug
Jaguar
3 : 2
Cabense
17 Aug
Cabense
1 : 1
Ibis Sport Club
Page 1 of 7

Carpina SC

(Away)
10 Oct
Carpina SC
2 : 3
Timbauba FC
03 Oct
Ipojuca
1 : 2
Carpina SC
26 Sept
Centro Limoeirense
2 : 3
Carpina SC
23 Sept
Carpina SC
3 : 2
Jaguar
19 Sept
Sete de Setembro (PE)
0 : 2
Carpina SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cha Grande 28 18 7 3 64:27 61
2 Cabense 28 17 7 4 52:17 58
3 Pesqueira 28 18 2 8 50:29 56
4 Olinda FC 28 17 8 3 62:28 56
5 Academica Vitoria 28 14 8 6 53:36 50
6 Carpina SC 28 14 5 9 39:29 47
7 Afogadense 28 12 9 7 48:42 45
8 Timbauba FC 28 12 7 9 35:26 43
9 Ipojuca 28 9 7 12 41:40 34
10 Jaguar 28 5 10 13 40:53 25
11 Sete de Setembro (PE) 28 5 10 13 28:50 25
12 Centro Limoeirense 28 6 3 19 30:64 21
13 Ibis Sport Club 28 4 9 15 31:64 21
14 Ferroviario do Cabo 28 4 6 18 30:61 18
15 Atletico PE 28 2 8 18 22:59 14
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2012 (Play Offs)