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Cabeza del Buey vs CD Zafra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cabeza del Buey host CD Zafra in the Tercera RFEF - Group 14. Little to choose between these two on current form. Cabeza del Buey have averaged 1.29 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against CD Zafra's 1.17 scored and 1.17 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 0.88) point toward Cabeza del Buey. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Cabeza del Buey
30%
Draws
41%
CD Zafra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Zafra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • CD Zafra haven't matched Cabeza del Buey's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Cabeza del Buey Clean Sheet 20%
CD Zafra Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cabeza del Buey CD Zafra
Matches Played 28 6
Wins 12 2
Draws 8 1
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.29 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cabeza del Buey 36 / 100
CD Zafra 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cabeza del Buey CD Zafra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Zafra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cabeza del Buey's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

CD Zafra let in goals in 67% of their last 6 matches.

Recent resilience: Cabeza del Buey stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: CD Zafra registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cabeza del Buey VS CD Zafra
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cabeza del Buey

(Home)
04 Oct
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 1
Villanovense
27 Sept
Guadiana
1 : 1
Cabeza del Buey
20 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 2
CD Azuaga
13 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
0 : 1
Jerez CF
06 Sept
Montijo
1 : 3
Cabeza del Buey
Page 1 of 6

CD Zafra

(Away)
27 Sept
CD Zafra
0 : 0
AD Llerenense
20 Sept
Moralo
2 : 0
CD Zafra
13 Sept
CD Zafra
4 : 1
Pueblonuevo
06 Sept
Quintana
0 : 1
CD Zafra
13 Aug
CD Zafra
1 : 2
Don Benito
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Azuaga 5 5 0 0 14:2 15
2 Moralo 5 3 2 0 9:5 11
3 AD Llerenense 4 3 1 0 3:0 10
4 Castuera 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
5 Puebla de la Calzada 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
6 Gevora 5 2 2 1 8:9 8
7 CD Zafra 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
8 Villanovense 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Santa Amalia 5 1 3 1 6:5 6
10 SP Villafranca 5 2 0 3 7:8 6
11 Montijo 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
12 Cabeza del Buey 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
13 Jerez CF 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
14 Jaraiz 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
15 Quintana 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
16 Pueblonuevo 5 0 3 2 5:10 3
17 UP Plasencia 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
18 Guadiana 5 0 1 4 2:11 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)