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Cabeza del Buey vs Montehermoso Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Cabeza del Buey Logo

Cabeza del Buey

2 - 1
FT
Montehermoso Logo

Montehermoso

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Yohane A.
34' Event
Cadavid J.
66' Event
Muela S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cabeza del Buey in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cabeza del Buey.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Cabeza del Buey
20%
Draws
10%
Montehermoso
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cabeza del Buey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cabeza del Buey lately — more wins on the board than Montehermoso.
  • Win probability leans Cabeza del Buey's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Cabeza del Buey Clean Sheet 20%
Montehermoso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cabeza del Buey Montehermoso
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.37 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.9 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Cabeza del Buey vs Montehermoso
2:1
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montehermoso vs Cabeza del Buey
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cabeza del Buey Compare

Top Goalscorer Cadavid J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Muela S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Montehermoso Compare

Top Goalscorer Yohane A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cabeza del Buey 85 / 100
Montehermoso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cabeza del Buey Montehermoso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cabeza del Buey Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cabeza del Buey found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Montehermoso conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Cabeza del Buey went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cabeza del Buey VS Montehermoso
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cabeza del Buey

(Home)
27 Sept
Guadiana
1 : 1
Cabeza del Buey
20 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 2
CD Azuaga
13 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
0 : 1
Jerez CF
06 Sept
Montijo
1 : 3
Cabeza del Buey
10 May
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 0
Puebla de la Calzada
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Montehermoso

(Away)
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1
Montehermoso
03 May
Montehermoso
0 : 3
Villanovense
26 Apr
Cabeza del Buey
2 : 1
Montehermoso
19 Apr
Montehermoso
2 : 2
AD Llerenense
12 Apr
CD Badajoz
4 : 0
Montehermoso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 21 8 5 70:22 71
2 CD Badajoz 34 23 5 6 64:27 71
3 Moralo 34 17 11 6 54:32 62
4 CD Azuaga 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
5 Jaraiz 34 16 11 7 53:33 59
6 Cabeza del Buey 34 15 12 7 45:29 57
7 SP Villafranca 34 16 7 11 45:40 55
8 Villanovense 34 15 8 11 45:36 53
9 Montijo 34 13 7 14 43:42 46
10 Jerez CF 34 8 17 9 56:51 41
11 AD Llerenense 34 11 8 15 35:44 41
12 Puebla de la Calzada 34 9 11 14 35:48 38
13 Santa Amalia 34 9 7 18 30:52 34
14 Gevora 34 8 9 17 32:53 33
15 Pueblonuevo 34 9 6 19 29:55 33
16 CD Diocesano 34 6 12 16 33:63 30
17 Montehermoso 34 5 8 21 24:66 23
18 CD Calamonte 34 3 13 18 25:47 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)