Sport Picks
Cabeza del Buey vs Villanovense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 
Match Events
67'
67'
Lambourde S.
90'
90'
Quintero J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Villanovense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Villanovense have won more games recently than Cabeza del Buey.
- Model gives Cabeza del Buey a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Cabeza del Buey Clean Sheet 17%
Villanovense Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cabeza del Buey | Villanovense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Cabeza del Buey vs Villanovense
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Villanovense vs Cabeza del Buey
3:2
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Cabeza del Buey vs Villanovense
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cabeza del Buey Compare
Top Goalscorer Lambourde S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Villanovense Compare
Top Goalscorer Quintero J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cabeza del Buey 36 / 100
Villanovense 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cabeza del Buey Villanovense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cabeza del Buey scored in 82% of their last 28 games.
Villanovense has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Cabeza del Buey stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cabeza del Buey VS Villanovense
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Cabeza del Buey
(Home) 04 Oct
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 1 Villanovense
27 Sept
Guadiana
1 : 1 Cabeza del Buey
20 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 2 CD Azuaga
13 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
0 : 1 Jerez CF
06 Sept
Montijo
1 : 3 Cabeza del Buey
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 1 Villanovense
20 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 2 CD Azuaga
13 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
0 : 1 Jerez CF
10 May
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 0 Puebla de la Calzada
26 Apr
Cabeza del Buey
2 : 1 Montehermoso
Page 1 of 3
Villanovense
(Away) 04 Oct
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 1 Villanovense
27 Sept
Villanovense
2 : 0 Montijo
20 Sept
SP Villafranca
0 : 1 Villanovense
13 Sept
Villanovense
0 : 1 AD Llerenense
06 Sept
Moralo
2 : 1 Villanovense
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 1 Villanovense
20 Sept
SP Villafranca
0 : 1 Villanovense
06 Sept
Moralo
2 : 1 Villanovense
03 May
Montehermoso
0 : 3 Villanovense
12 Apr
AD Llerenense
0 : 2 Villanovense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Azuaga | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Moralo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 11 |
| 3 | AD Llerenense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 10 |
| 4 | Castuera | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Puebla de la Calzada | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 6 | Gevora | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:9 | 8 |
| 7 | CD Zafra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 9 | Santa Amalia | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 10 | SP Villafranca | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 11 | Montijo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 12 | Cabeza del Buey | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 13 | Jerez CF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 14 | Jaraiz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 15 | Quintana | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Pueblonuevo | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 17 | UP Plasencia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 18 | Guadiana | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:11 | 1 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)
