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Cabofriense vs Boavista

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Cabofriense
30%
Draws
58%
Boavista
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Boavista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Cabofriense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Boavista's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Cabofriense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Boavista, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Cabofriense Clean Sheet 17%
Boavista Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cabofriense Boavista
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 6
Draws 12 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 0.87 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2025 Copa Rio
Boavista vs Cabofriense
1:2
Jul 30, 2025 Copa Rio
Cabofriense vs Boavista
0:0
Mar 14, 2020 Carioca
Boavista vs Cabofriense
2:0
Jan 23, 2019 Carioca
Boavista vs Cabofriense
1:0
Feb 22, 2018 Carioca
Cabofriense vs Boavista
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cabofriense 12 / 100
Boavista 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cabofriense Boavista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boavista Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cabofriense's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Boavista let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Cabofriense went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cabofriense VS Boavista
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.13
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cabofriense

(Home)
04 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 1
Cabofriense
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0
Bonsucesso
20 Jun
Olaria
1 : 0
Cabofriense
17 Jun
Bonsucesso
3 : 1
Cabofriense
Page 1 of 6

Boavista

(Away)
02 Sept
Madureira
0 : 0
Boavista
26 Aug
Boavista
2 : 0
Madureira
12 Aug
Boavista
3 : 0
Marica
05 Aug
Marica
1 : 0
Boavista
22 Jul
Boavista
4 : 0
CEAC/Araruama
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
CEAC/Araruama 3
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Olaria 0
Nova Iguacu 1
Cabofriense 2
Boavista 1
America RJ 2
Audax RJ 0
Goncalense 0
Marica 3
Duque de Caxias 1
Madureira 2
Campo Grande 0
Bangu 3
Resende 2
Portuguesa RJ 3
Quarter-finals
CEAC/Araruama 3
Nova Iguacu 2
Cabofriense 2
America RJ 5
Marica 6
Madureira 1
Bangu 0
Portuguesa RJ 1
Semi-finals
CEAC/Araruama 0
America RJ 1
Marica 1
Portuguesa RJ 3
Final
America RJ 1
Portuguesa RJ 2