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Stadium Background

Cabofriense vs Olaria

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Santos A.
59' Event
Rhyan
(Penalty)
65' Event
Santos A.

AI Match Summary

The Carioca 2 2025 game between Cabofriense and Olaria finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cabofriense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Cabofriense
35%
Draws
46%
Olaria
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Olaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Olaria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Carioca 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Cabofriense Clean Sheet 17%
Olaria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cabofriense Olaria
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 10
Draws 12 12
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.87 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Carioca 2
Olaria vs Cabofriense
1:0
Jul 6, 2025 Carioca 2
Cabofriense vs Olaria
2:1
Sep 11, 2024 Copa Rio
Olaria vs Cabofriense
2:0
Sep 4, 2024 Copa Rio
Cabofriense vs Olaria
0:0
Jun 23, 2024 Carioca 2
Cabofriense vs Olaria
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cabofriense Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Olaria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cabofriense 31 / 100
Olaria 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cabofriense Olaria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olaria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cabofriense scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Olaria let in goals in 53% of their last 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Cabofriense stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cabofriense VS Olaria
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cabofriense

(Home)
04 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 1
Cabofriense
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0
Bonsucesso
20 Jun
Olaria
1 : 0
Cabofriense
17 Jun
Bonsucesso
3 : 1
Cabofriense
Page 1 of 6

Olaria

(Away)
12 Aug
Nova Iguacu
0 : 0
Olaria
05 Aug
Olaria
0 : 1
Nova Iguacu
22 Jul
Bangu
1 : 1
Olaria
15 Jul
Olaria
2 : 0
Bangu
04 Jul
Olaria
0 : 1
Bonsucesso
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Goncalo 11 5 4 2 13:8 19
2 Bangu 11 4 4 3 11:8 16
3 CEAC/Araruama 11 4 4 3 8:9 16
4 Olaria 11 4 3 4 14:10 15
5 Resende 11 4 3 4 8:10 15
6 America RJ 11 3 5 3 7:7 14
7 Cabofriense 11 3 5 3 9:10 14
8 Perolas Negras 11 3 4 4 10:10 13
9 Americano 11 4 4 3 13:10 12
10 Audax RJ 11 3 3 5 11:15 12
11 Duque de Caxias 11 3 3 5 8:12 12
12 Goncalense 11 2 6 3 9:12 12
Promotion - Carioca 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 2025 (Main)