Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caboolture vs Ipswich

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Moreton Bay Central Sports Complex, Moreton Bay
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Waldock J.
58' Event
Ozzi J.
84' Event
Veal N.

AI Match Summary

Ipswich in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ipswich.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Caboolture
20%
Draws
40%
Ipswich
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Ipswich have won more games recently than Caboolture.
  • Caboolture are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Caboolture Clean Sheet 17%
Ipswich Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caboolture Ipswich
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.87 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs Ipswich
1:2
Mar 7, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Ipswich vs Caboolture
3:1
Jun 14, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Ipswich vs Caboolture
0:1
May 10, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs Ipswich
1:3
Aug 18, 2024 Queensland Premier League
Ipswich vs Caboolture
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caboolture Compare

Top Goalscorer Waldock J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Ipswich Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozzi J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Veal N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caboolture 48 / 100
Ipswich 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caboolture Ipswich

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caboolture Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caboolture found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Ipswich let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ipswich's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Caboolture VS Ipswich
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Caboolture

(Home)
15 Aug
North Star
2 : 1
Caboolture
09 Aug
Caboolture
7 : 2
Holland Park Hawks
01 Aug
Redlands
2 : 2
Caboolture
18 Jul
St. George Willawong
1 : 0
Caboolture
15 Jul
Caboolture
0 : 3
Brisbane Roar
Page 1 of 6

Ipswich

(Away)
30 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1 : 0
Ipswich
15 Aug
Broadbeach Utd.
1 : 0
Ipswich
09 Aug
Ipswich
3 : 0
Capalaba FC
01 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0 : 0
Ipswich
22 Jul
Ipswich
0 : 5
Brisbane Roar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane Strikers 22 17 3 2 52:18 54
2 Broadbeach Utd. 22 16 4 2 51:20 52
3 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 22 10 7 5 46:28 37
4 Ipswich 22 10 5 7 35:30 35
5 Robina City 22 9 5 8 36:29 32
6 Caboolture 22 9 4 9 45:38 31
7 Redlands 22 8 6 8 40:38 30
8 Holland Park Hawks 22 9 3 10 40:48 30
9 Logan Lightning 22 8 3 11 39:41 27
10 North Star 22 6 3 13 22:41 21
11 St. George Willawong 22 4 1 17 13:52 13
12 Capalaba FC 22 3 2 17 21:57 11
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)