Sport Picks
Caboolture vs Logan Lightning
Australia
Queensland Premier League Moreton Bay Central Sports Complex, Moreton Bay 
Match Events
20'
20'
Lumer T.
49'
49'
Caspanello J.
50'
50'
Waldock J.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Logan Lightning
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Logan Lightning lately — more wins on the board than Caboolture.
- Win probability leans Caboolture's way, sitting at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Caboolture Clean Sheet 10%
Logan Lightning Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caboolture | Logan Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.87 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 27, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Logan Lightning vs Caboolture
1:3
Mar 21, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs Logan Lightning
2:2
Jun 7, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs Logan Lightning
7:0
Mar 1, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Logan Lightning vs Caboolture
2:2
Jun 8, 2024 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs Logan Lightning
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Caboolture Compare
Top Goalscorer Waldock J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Logan Lightning Compare
Top Goalscorer Lumer T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Carre J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Caboolture 40 / 100
Logan Lightning 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Caboolture Logan Lightning
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Caboolture scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Logan Lightning let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 4.20 goals.
Solid form: Caboolture remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Caboolture VS Logan Lightning
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Caboolture
(Home) 15 Aug
North Star
2 : 1 Caboolture
09 Aug
Caboolture
7 : 2 Holland Park Hawks
01 Aug
Redlands
2 : 2 Caboolture
18 Jul
St. George Willawong
1 : 0 Caboolture
15 Jul
Caboolture
0 : 3 Brisbane Roar
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Caboolture
7 : 2 Holland Park Hawks
15 Jul
Caboolture
0 : 3 Brisbane Roar
03 Jul
Caboolture
1 : 2 Sunshine Coast Wanderers
19 Jun
Caboolture
1 : 2 Brisbane Strikers
06 Jun
Caboolture
1 : 2 Ipswich
Page 1 of 4
Logan Lightning
(Away) 15 Aug
Redlands
2 : 0 Logan Lightning
09 Aug
Logan Lightning
4 : 1 St. George Willawong
31 Jul
Broadbeach Utd.
1 : 0 Logan Lightning
18 Jul
Logan Lightning
2 : 2 Sunshine Coast Wanderers
11 Jul
Logan Lightning
3 : 2 Ipswich
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Redlands
2 : 0 Logan Lightning
31 Jul
Broadbeach Utd.
1 : 0 Logan Lightning
04 Jul
Brisbane Strikers
3 : 2 Logan Lightning
20 Jun
Robina City
1 : 0 Logan Lightning
23 May
North Star
1 : 3 Logan Lightning
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brisbane Strikers | 22 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 52:18 | 54 |
| 2 | Broadbeach Utd. | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 51:20 | 52 |
| 3 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 46:28 | 37 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 5 | Robina City | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 36:29 | 32 |
| 6 | Caboolture | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 45:38 | 31 |
| 7 | Redlands | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 40:38 | 30 |
| 8 | Holland Park Hawks | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 40:48 | 30 |
| 9 | Logan Lightning | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 39:41 | 27 |
| 10 | North Star | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 22:41 | 21 |
| 11 | St. George Willawong | 22 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 13:52 | 13 |
| 12 | Capalaba FC | 22 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 21:57 | 11 |
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)
