Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caboolture vs Redlands

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Moreton Bay Central Sports Complex
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caboolture play Redlands in the Queensland Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Caboolture averaged 1.83 goals scored and 2.14 conceded. Redlands averaged 1.83 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. In past meetings, Caboolture won 2, Redlands won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for Caboolture and 2.00 for Redlands. This points to a Caboolture double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Caboolture
17%
Draws
40%
Redlands
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Caboolture

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Caboolture picked up more points recently compared to Redlands.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.25 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Caboolture Clean Sheet 10%
Redlands Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caboolture Redlands
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.83 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.14 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs Redlands
4:2
Aug 9, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs Redlands
2:7
May 6, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Redlands vs Caboolture
1:4
Jul 9, 2022 Queensland Premier League
Redlands vs Caboolture
4:1
Apr 9, 2022 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs Redlands
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caboolture Compare

Top Goalscorer Docherty E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kohen A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Redlands Compare

Top Goalscorer Lockyer F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fukuda R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caboolture 41 / 100
Redlands 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caboolture Redlands

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Caboolture or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Caboolture attacking → ← attacking Redlands

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caboolture scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Redlands let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.40 goals.

Caboolture went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Redlands lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 36
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Broadbeach Utd.18144047:1646
2Brisbane Strikers17133142:1442
3Sunshine Coast Wanderers1785436:2229
4Robina City1884630:2028
5Ipswich1884629:2728
6Caboolture1883735:3127
7Redlands1874735:3225
8Holland Park Hawks1873829:3324
9Logan Lightning1872933:3523
10North Star18331216:3712
11St. George Willawong18311410:4110
12Capalaba FC18221417:518