Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2018/2019

Arouca

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cacadores Taipas play Arouca in the Taça de Portugal 2018/2019. Arouca are favorites here. Recently, Cacadores Taipas averaged 0.67 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. Arouca averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Cacadores Taipas won 0, Arouca won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 30, 2018 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Cacadores Taipas and 1.55 for Arouca. This points to a Arouca double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Cacadores Taipas

18%

Draws

64%

Arouca

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Arouca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Cacadores Taipas picked up more points recently compared to Arouca.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.55 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 61%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

Cacadores Taipas Clean Sheet 15%

Arouca Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cacadores Taipas	Arouca
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	3	12
Draws	7	4
Losses	20	14
Goals Scored	0.67	1.53
Goals Conceded	2.03	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2018 Taça de Portugal

Cacadores Taipas vs Arouca

Possession: 49% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cacadores Taipas 19 / 100

Arouca 60 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cacadores Taipas Arouca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arouca Win (2)

Secondary Pick Arouca & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +80%

10.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.82

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cacadores Taipas attacking → ← attacking Arouca

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cacadores Taipas scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Arouca let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Cacadores Taipas went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Arouca lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 40

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50