Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013

Pueblonuevo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cacereno II play Pueblonuevo in the Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cacereno II averaged 0.73 goals scored and 2 conceded. Pueblonuevo averaged 1 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Cacereno II won 0, Pueblonuevo won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 11, 2014 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Cacereno II and 0.86 for Pueblonuevo. This points to a Pueblonuevo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Cacereno II

27%

Draws

51%

Pueblonuevo

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Pueblonuevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence

Cacereno II picked up more points recently compared to Pueblonuevo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 0.86 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 47%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Cacereno II Clean Sheet 25%

Pueblonuevo Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cacereno II	Pueblonuevo
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	3	10
Draws	10	7
Losses	17	15
Goals Scored	0.73	1
Goals Conceded	2	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Pueblonuevo vs Cacereno II

Possession: 49% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

3:0

Dec 21, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Cacereno II vs Pueblonuevo

Possession: 47% - 47% Cards: 0 - 2

2:2

May 5, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Cacereno II vs Pueblonuevo

Possession: 52% - 49% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Dec 16, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Pueblonuevo vs Cacereno II

Possession: 47% - 47% Cards: 0 - 1

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cacereno II 25 / 100

Pueblonuevo 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cacereno II Pueblonuevo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pueblonuevo or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +57.1%

7.14

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.7%

2.44

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cacereno II attacking → ← attacking Pueblonuevo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cacereno II scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Pueblonuevo let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Cacereno II went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Pueblonuevo lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 37

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Extremadura UD	38	27	8	3	75:14	89
2	UD Badajoz	38	24	8	6	67:24	80
3	Don Benito	38	23	10	5	55:23	79
4	Diter Zafra	38	22	11	5	57:23	77
5	Jerez CF	38	16	11	11	51:37	59
6	Merida UD	38	15	11	12	47:38	56
7	Ciduad de Plasencia	38	15	10	13	50:38	55
8	UP Plasencia	38	15	10	13	55:47	55
9	Santa Amalia	38	15	8	15	52:54	53
10	CD Coria	38	14	9	15	47:48	51
11	Atletico San Jose Promesas	38	14	6	18	44:58	48
12	Pueblonuevo	38	11	10	17	41:60	43
13	Miajadas	38	12	7	19	40:56	43
14	RCP Valverdeno	38	11	9	18	40:56	42
15	Hernan Cortes	38	11	8	19	36:64	41
16	Cacereno II	38	10	10	18	48:57	40
17	Fuente de Cantos	38	10	9	19	42:68	39
18	Moralo	38	7	17	14	33:52	38
19	Emerita Augusta	38	8	7	23	44:77	31
20	Valdelacalzada	38	7	7	24	35:65	28