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Cacereno vs La Estrella Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 14 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 14 2016/2017 game between Cacereno and La Estrella finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cacereno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Cacereno
15%
Draws
0%
La Estrella
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cacereno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • La Estrella haven't matched Cacereno's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Cacereno's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cacereno have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Cacereno Clean Sheet 20%
La Estrella Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cacereno La Estrella
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 5
Draws 11 6
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1.26 1
Goals Conceded 0.87 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Cacereno vs La Estrella
1:0
Sep 25, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
La Estrella vs Cacereno
0:2
May 3, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
La Estrella vs Cacereno
1:3
Dec 20, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Cacereno vs La Estrella
2:1
May 4, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
La Estrella vs Cacereno
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cacereno 85 / 100
La Estrella 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cacereno La Estrella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cacereno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Estrella's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

La Estrella's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Cacereno's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Cacereno VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cacereno

(Home)
27 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 0
Cacereno
20 Sept
Cacereno
3 : 0
Arenas Getxo
16 Sept
Recreativo Huelva
2 : 1
Cacereno
13 Sept
Cacereno
1 : 0
Leonesa
09 Sept
Cacereno
2 : 0
UD San Pedro
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La Estrella

(Away)
23 Apr
La Estrella
2 : 3
CD Azuaga
16 Apr
AD Llerenense
3 : 1
La Estrella
06 Apr
La Estrella
1 : 2
UP Plasencia
02 Apr
La Estrella
1 : 2
Olivenza FC
26 Mar
Pueblonuevo
4 : 0
La Estrella
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cacereno 38 29 5 4 81:16 92
2 CD Badajoz 38 25 10 3 90:17 85
3 Jerez CF 38 25 4 9 58:26 79
4 CD Azuaga 38 22 8 8 83:42 74
5 CD Coria 38 22 6 10 62:29 72
6 Don Benito 38 18 14 6 62:26 68
7 CD Calamonte 38 16 14 8 70:39 62
8 UP Plasencia 38 17 8 13 59:56 59
9 Moralo 38 13 13 12 57:58 52
10 Olivenza FC 38 12 11 15 44:54 47
11 Montijo 38 11 10 17 41:59 43
12 CP Amanecer 38 10 13 15 52:58 43
13 Extremadura UD B 38 9 13 16 49:55 40
14 CP Valdivia 38 9 12 17 34:63 39
15 Arroyo 38 10 7 21 31:64 37
16 Santa Amalia 38 10 6 22 34:82 36
17 Pueblonuevo 38 8 11 19 34:64 35
18 Fuente de Cantos 38 8 10 20 42:69 34
19 Diter Zafra 38 6 6 26 34:95 24
20 La Estrella 38 3 13 22 34:79 22
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)