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Cacereno W vs Real Oviedo W

Spain Spain

Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cacereno W play Real Oviedo W in the Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cacereno W averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Real Oviedo W averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Cacereno W won 3, Real Oviedo W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Cacereno W and 1.00 for Real Oviedo W. This points to a Cacereno W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Cacereno W
16%
Draws
30%
Real Oviedo W
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Cacereno W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Cacereno W picked up more points recently compared to Real Oviedo W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Cacereno W Clean Sheet 23%
Real Oviedo W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cacereno W Real Oviedo W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 0.9 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Primera Federacion Women
Cacereno W vs Real Oviedo W
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
Real Oviedo W vs Cacereno W
2:1
Apr 16, 2023 Primera Federacion Women
Cacereno W vs Real Oviedo W
2:1
Dec 18, 2022 Primera Federacion Women
Real Oviedo W vs Cacereno W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cacereno W Compare

Top Goalscorer Acedo C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Real Oviedo W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cacereno W 53 / 100
Real Oviedo W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cacereno W Real Oviedo W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cacereno W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Cacereno W & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cacereno W attacking → ← attacking Real Oviedo W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cacereno W scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Real Oviedo W let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Cacereno W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Real Oviedo W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 24
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Barcelona B W26184467:2658
2Alaves W26175444:1556
3Valencia W261210435:1846
4Real Madrid B W26125935:2741
5Tenerife B W26116934:3639
6Villarreal W26108835:3138
7CA Osasuna W26961130:2633
8Albacete W2689925:3333
9Cacereno W26871122:3331
10Atl. Madrid B W26871126:3231
11SE AEM W26861226:3630
12CE Europa W26651529:4723
13Betis W26581324:4823
14Real Oviedo W26461618:4218