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Cacerense vs Paulistano FC

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Matogrossense 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Cacerense
17%
Draws
13%
Paulistano FC
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Cacerense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Cacerense have won more games recently than Paulistano FC.
  • Win probability leans Cacerense's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Cacerense Clean Sheet 20%
Paulistano FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cacerense Paulistano FC
Matches Played 30 5
Wins 9 0
Draws 7 2
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 1.13 0.17
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Cacerense vs Paulistano FC
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cacerense 67 / 100
Paulistano FC 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cacerense Paulistano FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cacerense scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Paulistano FC conceded in 60% of 5 recent games.

Recent resilience: Cacerense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Paulistano FC registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cacerense VS Paulistano FC
1.13 Goals Scored 0.17
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 33%
50% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 17%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sinop FC43108:210
2Sorriso EC421112:37
3Santa Cruz MT41303:16
4Gremio Sorriso41124:44
5Campo Novo40041:180
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uirapuru431015:410
2Acao42208:68
3Cacerense41125:44
4Paulistano FC40221:62
5Atletico MT40223:122