Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Copa FMF (Mato Grosso). This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Cuiaba have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Cacerense have conceded 1.39 and scored 1.21. Past meetings favor Cuiaba slightly — 0-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 4, 2023, ending 0:1. The numbers (0.96 xG vs 0.79) point toward Cuiaba. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Cacerense haven't matched Cuiaba's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Cuiaba's way, sitting at 60%.
- Cuiaba arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Cuiaba, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Cuiaba here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cacerense | Cuiaba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 33 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 12 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.96 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cacerense's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Cuiaba has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.
Solid form: Cacerense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Cacerense
(Home)Cuiaba
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Várzea Grande EC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Uirapuru | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 3 | Chapada | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 4 | Uniao Rondonopolis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Santa Cruz MT | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cuiaba | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Cacerense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Campo Novo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 4 | Sorriso EC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | 0 |
