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Cacerense vs Sorriso EC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Cacerense Logo

Cacerense

0 - 1
FT
Sorriso EC Logo

Sorriso EC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Cacerense
15%
Draws
51%
Sorriso EC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sorriso EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Cacerense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cacerense's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Cacerense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sorriso EC, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Cacerense have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Cacerense Clean Sheet 15%
Sorriso EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cacerense Sorriso EC
Matches Played 30 18
Wins 12 9
Draws 4 2
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.33 2.22
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Cacerense vs Sorriso EC
0:1
Sep 12, 2026 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Sorriso EC vs Cacerense
1:2
May 21, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Sorriso EC vs Cacerense
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cacerense 35 / 100
Sorriso EC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cacerense Sorriso EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cacerense scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Sorriso EC let in goals in 67% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Cacerense has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cacerense VS Sorriso EC
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cacerense

(Home)
24 Oct
Cacerense
0 : 1
Sorriso EC
11 Oct
Campo Novo
0 : 5
Cacerense
03 Oct
Cuiaba
2 : 0
Cacerense
26 Sept
Cacerense
2 : 5
Cuiaba
19 Sept
Cacerense
3 : 2
Campo Novo
Page 1 of 6

Sorriso EC

(Away)
31 Oct
Sorriso EC
0 : 1
Chapada
24 Oct
Cacerense
0 : 1
Sorriso EC
10 Oct
Sorriso EC
2 : 3
Cuiaba
03 Oct
Sorriso EC
4 : 1
Campo Novo
27 Sept
Campo Novo
0 : 4
Sorriso EC
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chapada 8 6 1 1 16:4 19
2 Uniao Rondonopolis 8 5 1 2 12:7 16
3 Santa Cruz MT 8 4 0 4 17:12 12
4 Várzea Grande EC 8 2 0 6 12:25 6
5 Uirapuru 8 1 2 5 8:17 5
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba 6 6 0 0 24:4 18
2 Sorriso EC 6 3 0 3 12:10 9
3 Cacerense 6 3 0 3 12:11 9
4 Campo Novo 6 0 0 6 3:26 0
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)