Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cacerense vs Uirapuru

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Cacerense
20%
Draws
38%
Uirapuru
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cacerense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cacerense come out ahead of Uirapuru on wins alone.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Cacerense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Uirapuru, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Cacerense Clean Sheet 10%
Uirapuru Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cacerense Uirapuru
Matches Played 28 11
Wins 10 5
Draws 5 2
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.21 2.27
Goals Conceded 1.39 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Uirapuru vs Cacerense
0:2
May 24, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Cacerense vs Uirapuru
1:2
Apr 25, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Uirapuru vs Cacerense
2:1
Jun 14, 2025 Matogrossense 2
Cacerense vs Uirapuru
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cacerense 34 / 100
Uirapuru 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cacerense Uirapuru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uirapuru Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uirapuru has conceded goals in 91% of their last 11 outings.

Cacerense's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Cacerense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cacerense VS Uirapuru
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cacerense

(Home)
12 Sept
Sorriso EC
1 : 2
Cacerense
07 Jun
Sinop FC
2 : 0
Cacerense
03 Jun
Cacerense
2 : 1
Sinop FC
30 May
Uirapuru
0 : 2
Cacerense
24 May
Cacerense
1 : 2
Uirapuru
Page 1 of 6

Uirapuru

(Away)
16 Sept
Chapada
1 : 1
Uirapuru
30 May
Uirapuru
0 : 2
Cacerense
24 May
Cacerense
1 : 2
Uirapuru
17 May
Atletico MT
1 : 7
Uirapuru
02 May
Uirapuru
2 : 2
Acao
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Sinop FC -
TBD -
Acao 1
Santa Cruz MT 2
Uirapuru -
TBD -
Sorriso EC 2
Cacerense 3
Semi-finals
Sinop FC 1
Santa Cruz MT 0
Uirapuru 2
Cacerense 3
Final
Sinop FC 3
Cacerense 2