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Caceres vs Rondonopolis EC

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Matogrossense 2 2024 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Caceres
35%
Draws
35%
Rondonopolis EC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Rondonopolis EC average 1.6 goals a game right now, well clear of Caceres's 1.24.
  • Rondonopolis EC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Caceres Clean Sheet 15%
Rondonopolis EC Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caceres Rondonopolis EC
Matches Played 17 20
Wins 7 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.24 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Rondonopolis EC vs Caceres
0:1
Jun 2, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Caceres vs Rondonopolis EC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caceres 10 / 100
Rondonopolis EC 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caceres Rondonopolis EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rondonopolis EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caceres scored in 76% of their last 17 games.

Rondonopolis EC let in goals in 60% of their last 20 matches.

Recent resilience: Caceres stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Caceres VS Rondonopolis EC
0.75 Goals Scored 2.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.83
25% Over 1.5 67%
13% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Caceres

(Home)
12 Oct
Primavera AC
2 : 2
Caceres
05 Oct
Caceres
0 : 2
Nova Mutum EC
28 Sept
Academia
3 : 2
Caceres
14 Sept
Caceres
1 : 1
Operario VG
08 Sept
Cuiaba
0 : 1
Caceres
Page 1 of 4

Rondonopolis EC

(Away)
08 Jun
Rondonopolis EC
0 : 1
Caceres
02 Jun
Caceres
0 : 0
Rondonopolis EC
26 May
Pocone
1 : 1
Rondonopolis EC
19 May
Rondonopolis EC
3 : 3
Várzea Grande EC
11 May
Rondonopolis EC
2 : 0
Atletico MT
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Rondonopolis EC 0
Caceres 1
Sinop FC 6
Várzea Grande EC 2
Acao 1
Sport Sinop 2
Pocone 3
Gremio Sorriso 1
Semi-finals
Caceres 3
Sinop FC 0
Sport Sinop 4
Pocone 3
Final
Caceres 3
Sport Sinop 2