Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10

Ciudad de Lucena

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cadiz B play Ciudad de Lucena in the Tercera RFEF - Group 10. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cadiz B averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Ciudad de Lucena averaged 2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. In past meetings, Cadiz B won 2, Ciudad de Lucena won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Cadiz B and 1.75 for Ciudad de Lucena. This points to a Ciudad de Lucena double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Cadiz B

25%

Draws

44%

Ciudad de Lucena

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Ciudad de Lucena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Cadiz B picked up more points recently compared to Ciudad de Lucena.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

Cadiz B Clean Sheet 12%

Ciudad de Lucena Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cadiz B	Ciudad de Lucena
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	19
Draws	9	7
Losses	10	4
Goals Scored	1.43	2
Goals Conceded	1.2	0.8
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10

Cadiz B vs Ciudad de Lucena

Possession: 50% - 49% Cards: 2 - 3

3:0

Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10

Ciudad de Lucena vs Cadiz B

Possession: 47% - 45% Cards: 3 - 0

3:0

Dec 30, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 10

Cadiz B vs Ciudad de Lucena

Possession: 44% - 44% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Aug 26, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 10

Ciudad de Lucena vs Cadiz B

Possession: 49% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

3:1

Mar 18, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 10

Ciudad de Lucena vs Cadiz B

Possession: 60% - 47% Cards: 1 - 0

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cadiz B Compare

Top Goalscorer De La Carrera N.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Echeverria J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Ciudad de Lucena Compare

Avg xG / game 2.27

Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cadiz B 30 / 100

Ciudad de Lucena 42 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cadiz B Ciudad de Lucena

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ciudad de Lucena or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +34.8%

4.35

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cadiz B attacking → ← attacking Ciudad de Lucena

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cadiz B scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Ciudad de Lucena let in goals in 40% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Cadiz B went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ciudad de Lucena lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 64

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.50

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ciudad de Lucena	34	22	7	5	69:25	73
2	Dos Hermanas	34	18	6	10	69:39	60
3	Atletico Central	34	15	10	9	36:29	55
4	Bollullos	34	14	11	9	43:35	53
5	AD Ceuta B	34	14	10	10	38:38	52
6	Linense	34	13	13	8	45:32	52
7	Cadiz B	34	14	10	10	50:38	52
8	Conil	34	15	7	12	43:44	52
9	Cordoba B	34	12	8	14	44:44	44
10	CD Utrera	34	12	8	14	40:47	44
11	Pozoblanco	34	10	13	11	39:44	43
12	Chiclana	34	10	13	11	39:45	43
13	San Roque de Lepe	34	10	13	11	39:39	43
14	Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)	34	10	10	14	36:43	40
15	Tomares UD	34	10	9	15	34:46	39
16	Sevilla C	34	10	8	16	34:41	38
17	Castilleja CF	34	6	9	19	28:62	27
18	Coria C.F.	34	4	9	21	24:59	21