Sport Picks

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Cadiz vs Las Palmas

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 JP Financial Estadio, Cadiz
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Bonfanti G.
30'
Doue M.
58'
Sub
Gutierrez C. In: Arribas S.
Out: Gutierrez C.

AI Match Summary

Las Palmas in this LaLiga2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Las Palmas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Cadiz
30%
Draws
54%
Las Palmas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Las Palmas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Las Palmas lately — more wins on the board than Cadiz.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Las Palmas have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Cadiz Clean Sheet 15%
Las Palmas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cadiz Las Palmas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 LaLiga2
Cadiz vs Las Palmas
0:1
Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Cadiz vs Las Palmas
1:3
Apr 27, 2026 LaLiga2
Cadiz vs Las Palmas
1:2
Oct 5, 2025 LaLiga2
Las Palmas vs Cadiz
1:0
Jul 24, 2025 Club Friendly
Cadiz vs Las Palmas
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cadiz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Las Palmas Compare

Top Goalscorer Clemente E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cadiz 35 / 100
Las Palmas 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cadiz Las Palmas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Las Palmas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cadiz scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Las Palmas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Cadiz has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cadiz VS Las Palmas
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cadiz

(Home)
19 Sept
Cadiz
1 : 2
Girona
12 Sept
Cadiz
0 : 1
Las Palmas
06 Sept
Almeria
3 : 2
Cadiz
30 Aug
Cadiz
1 : 1
Valladolid
22 Aug
Eldense
2 : 2
Cadiz
Page 1 of 6

Las Palmas

(Away)
20 Sept
Las Palmas
1 : 2
Burgos CF
12 Sept
Cadiz
0 : 1
Las Palmas
04 Sept
Las Palmas
0 : 0
Leganes
29 Aug
Girona
5 : 2
Las Palmas
22 Aug
AD Ceuta
0 : 2
Las Palmas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon 6 5 1 0 12:2 16
2 Eibar 6 5 0 1 12:4 15
3 Girona 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
4 Mallorca 6 4 1 1 8:2 13
5 Almeria 6 4 0 2 10:4 12
6 Burgos CF 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
7 Sabadell 6 3 2 1 7:5 11
8 Leganes 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
9 Gijon 6 3 1 2 5:4 10
10 Las Palmas 6 3 1 2 8:8 10
11 Tenerife 6 3 1 2 7:8 10
12 Real Sociedad B 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
13 Real Oviedo 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
14 Granada CF 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
15 Celta Vigo B 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
16 Cordoba 6 2 0 4 9:13 6
17 Eldense 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
18 Valladolid 6 1 2 3 3:8 5
19 Cadiz 6 0 3 3 6:9 3
20 FC Andorra 6 1 0 5 9:13 3
21 Albacete 7 0 1 6 4:12 1
22 AD Ceuta 6 0 1 5 3:16 1
Promotion - LaLiga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs)