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Cadiz vs Leiria

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
van der Gaag J.
36' Event
Silva J.
45' Event
Silva J.

AI Match Summary

Leiria in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leiria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Cadiz
15%
Draws
34%
Leiria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cadiz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Cadiz haven't matched Leiria's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Cadiz taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Cadiz Clean Sheet 20%
Leiria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cadiz Leiria
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 5 10
Draws 3 6
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 1.11 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Cadiz vs Leiria
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cadiz Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Leiria Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader van der Gaag J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cadiz 36 / 100
Leiria 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cadiz Leiria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Cadiz found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Leiria conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Leiria lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cadiz VS Leiria
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cadiz

(Home)
08 Aug
Cadiz
1 : 3
Las Palmas
05 Aug
Cadiz
2 : 0
Granada CF
01 Aug
Tenerife
2 : 3
Cadiz
29 Jul
Cadiz
1 : 3
AD Ceuta
25 Jul
Cadiz
0 : 1
Cordoba
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Leiria

(Away)
09 Aug
Vizela
1 : 0
Leiria
28 Jul
Las Palmas
3 : 2
Leiria
15 Jul
Leiria
2 : 0
AD Marco 09
11 Jul
Leiria
0 : 1
Alverca
17 May
Leiria
2 : 2
Feirense
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