Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caen vs Concarneau

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Michel d'Ornano, Caen
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Inquel S.
38'
Sub
Seba D. In: Seydi A.
Out: Seba D.
54'
Rajot L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Caen
33%
Draws
27%
Concarneau
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Caen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Caen have won more games recently than Concarneau.
  • Model gives Caen a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Caen Clean Sheet 20%
Concarneau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caen Concarneau
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 12 12
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Ligue 3
Caen vs Concarneau
0:0
Jan 16, 2026 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Caen
3:3
Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Concarneau vs Caen
1:0
Jan 13, 2024 Ligue 2
Caen vs Concarneau
1:0
Aug 19, 2023 Ligue 2
Concarneau vs Caen
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caen 40 / 100
Concarneau 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caen Concarneau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caen's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Concarneau has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Caen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caen VS Concarneau
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Caen

(Home)
25 Jul
Caen
4 : 1
Al Wakra
18 Jul
Caen
4 : 2
Laval
15 Jul
Caen
3 : 4
Paris 13 Atletico
09 Jul
Rennes
1 : 2
Caen
15 May
Aubagne FC
3 : 1
Caen
Page 1 of 6

Concarneau

(Away)
25 Jul
Laval
1 : 2
Concarneau
22 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 1
Concarneau
18 Jul
Brest
2 : 2
Concarneau
11 Jul
Concarneau
1 : 2
Lorient
15 May
Concarneau
2 : 2
Villefranche
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dijon321811352:2565
2Sochaux321610651:2658
3Rouen321413543:2955
4Fleury-Merogis32159847:3054
5Versailles32158946:3453
6Orleans32149942:4251
7Le Puy-en-Velay321211945:3847
8Caen32816839:3440
9Concarneau328141032:3738
10Valenciennes321081435:4437
11Aubagne FC329101338:4637
12Villefranche321071534:4537
13Quevilly32891534:4533
14Paris 13 Atletico327111426:4132
15Bourg Peronnas32871725:4431
16Chateauroux326131335:4930
17Stade Briochin325121535:5027
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)