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Caen vs Versailles - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade Michel d'Ornano, Caen
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
01:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caen host Versailles in the Ligue 3. This one's hard to separate. Versailles have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while Caen have conceded 1.35 and scored 1.77. Past meetings favor Versailles slightly — 1-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 30, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.31) point toward Versailles. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Caen
15%
Draws
50%
Versailles
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Versailles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Versailles have won more games recently than Caen.
  • Win probability leans Caen's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Caen Clean Sheet 18%
Versailles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caen Versailles
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 16
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.77 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Ligue 3
Versailles vs Caen
2:1
Aug 22, 2025 Ligue 3
Caen vs Versailles
0:2
Aug 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Caen vs Versailles
3:1
Jul 23, 2022 Club Friendly
Caen vs Versailles
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caen 36 / 100
Versailles 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caen Versailles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caen's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Versailles conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Solid form: Caen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Caen VS Versailles
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Caen

(Home)
15 Oct
Caen
2 : 1
La Roche Vendee
03 Oct
Fleury 91
3 : 2
Caen
24 Sept
Caen
3 : 2
Rouen
19 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 0
Caen
12 Sept
Caen
2 : 0
Paris 13 Atletico
Page 1 of 7

Versailles

(Away)
17 Oct
Thionville
1 : 2
Versailles
03 Oct
Versailles
1 : 0
Valenciennes
26 Sept
Villefranche
1 : 2
Versailles
19 Sept
Versailles
0 : 0
Quevilly
12 Sept
Orleans
0 : 4
Versailles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 10 6 3 1 16:10 21
2 Rouen 10 6 2 2 18:8 20
3 Versailles 10 6 1 3 15:13 19
4 Caen 10 6 0 4 19:13 18
5 Concarneau 10 4 5 1 13:9 17
6 Le Puy-en-Velay 10 5 1 4 12:9 16
7 Amiens SC 10 4 4 2 13:4 16
8 Cannes 10 3 6 1 12:6 15
9 Fleury 91 10 4 3 3 16:12 15
10 Paris 13 Atletico 10 4 3 3 10:10 15
11 Quevilly 10 3 4 3 11:14 13
12 Thionville 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
13 Bastia 10 3 3 4 8:12 12
14 Valenciennes 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
15 Orleans 10 2 3 5 9:14 9
16 Aubagne FC 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
17 Villefranche 10 2 1 7 9:23 7
18 Bourg Peronnas 10 1 2 7 5:16 5
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)