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Caerau Ely vs Barnstaple Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Caerau Ely
15%
Draws
5%
Barnstaple Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caerau Ely

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Caerau Ely have won more games recently than Barnstaple Town.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Caerau Ely taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Caerau Ely Clean Sheet 10%
Barnstaple Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caerau Ely Barnstaple Town
Matches Played 26 16
Wins 15 1
Draws 5 1
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.5 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.27 2.56
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Caerau Ely vs Barnstaple Town
4:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caerau Ely 83 / 100
Barnstaple Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caerau Ely Barnstaple Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caerau Ely Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caerau Ely found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (26 games).

Defensive concern: Barnstaple Town conceded in 100% of 16 recent games.

These sides typically produce 8.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Caerau Ely stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caerau Ely VS Barnstaple Town
1.5 Goals Scored 4
1.13 Goals Conceded 4
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Caerau Ely

(Home)
16 Oct
Caerau Ely
6 : 0
Llanelli
10 Oct
Aberystwyth
0 : 1
Caerau Ely
02 Oct
Caerau Ely
2 : 0
Afan Lido
26 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 3
Caerau Ely
11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0
Llanelli
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Barnstaple Town

(Away)
25 Jul
Caerau Ely
4 : 4
Barnstaple Town
31 Aug
Barnstaple Town
1 : 2
Larkhall
02 Sept
Poole Town
3 : 0
Barnstaple Town
09 Oct
AFC Totton
6 : 0
Barnstaple Town
04 Sept
Barnstaple Town
0 : 1
Lymington
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