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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Caerau Ely host Briton Ferry in the Club Friendly. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Caerau Ely at 1.63 goals for, 0.25 against; Briton Ferry at 0.88 for, 0.88 against. Past meetings favor Briton Ferry slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 17, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 0.56) point toward Caerau Ely. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Caerau Ely

28%

Draws

22%

Briton Ferry

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Caerau Ely

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Caerau Ely has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Briton Ferry.
Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Caerau Ely.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Club Friendly provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Caerau Ely Clean Sheet 20%

Briton Ferry Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Caerau Ely	Briton Ferry
Matches Played	26	27
Wins	14	10
Draws	5	6
Losses	7	11
Goals Scored	1.63	0.88
Goals Conceded	0.25	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.25	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Club Friendly

Caerau Ely vs Briton Ferry

Possession: 46% - 53% Cards: 0 - 4

0:0

Mar 8, 2024 Cymru South

Caerau Ely vs Briton Ferry

Possession: 51% - 44% Cards: 2 - 2

2:2

Aug 28, 2023 Cymru South

Briton Ferry vs Caerau Ely

Possession: 50% - 40% Cards: 1 - 3

5:3

Feb 29, 2020 Cymru South

Caerau Ely vs Briton Ferry

Possession: 46% - 50% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Dec 6, 2019 Cymru South

Briton Ferry vs Caerau Ely

Possession: 50% - 60% Cards: 3 - 1

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caerau Ely 49 / 100

Briton Ferry 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Caerau Ely Briton Ferry

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caerau Ely scored in 77% of their last 26 games.

Briton Ferry let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Caerau Ely went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Briton Ferry lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caerau Ely VS Briton Ferry

1.63 Goals Scored 0.88

0.25 Goals Conceded 0.88

50% Over 1.5 50%

25% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 25%