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Caerau Ely vs Briton Ferry

World World

Club Friendly
Fri, Jul 17, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caerau Ely host Briton Ferry in the Club Friendly. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Caerau Ely at 2.34 goals for, 1.45 against; Briton Ferry at 1.38 for, 1.52 against. Past meetings favor Briton Ferry slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 17, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.75) point toward Caerau Ely. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Caerau Ely
15%
Draws
21%
Briton Ferry
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caerau Ely

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Caerau Ely carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Caerau Ely taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Caerau Ely Clean Sheet 12%
Briton Ferry Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caerau Ely Briton Ferry
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.34 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Caerau Ely vs Briton Ferry
0:0
Mar 8, 2024 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Briton Ferry
2:2
Aug 28, 2023 Cymru South
Briton Ferry vs Caerau Ely
5:3
Feb 29, 2020 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Briton Ferry
0:0
Dec 6, 2019 Cymru South
Briton Ferry vs Caerau Ely
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caerau Ely 83 / 100
Briton Ferry 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caerau Ely Briton Ferry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caerau Ely Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caerau Ely's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Briton Ferry let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Caerau Ely stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caerau Ely VS Briton Ferry
2.25 Goals Scored 0.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Caerau Ely

(Home)
11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0
Llanelli
31 Aug
Caerau Ely
3 : 2
Treowen
28 Aug
Baglan Dragons
3 : 1
Caerau Ely
21 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 5
Pure Swansea
14 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 4
Caerau Ely
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Briton Ferry

(Away)
11 Sept
Haverfordwest
3 : 1
Briton Ferry
04 Sept
Briton Ferry
0 : 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC
31 Aug
Briton Ferry
1 : 4
Barry Town
28 Aug
Cardiff Metropolitan University
3 : 0
Briton Ferry
21 Aug
Flint Town
0 : 1
Briton Ferry
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