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Caerau Ely vs Cardiff Corries

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Caerau Ely
30%
Draws
31%
Cardiff Corries
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caerau Ely

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Caerau Ely lately — more wins on the board than Cardiff Corries.
  • Caerau Ely are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Caerau Ely have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Caerau Ely Clean Sheet 68%
Cardiff Corries Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caerau Ely Cardiff Corries
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 2.45 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Caerau Ely vs Cardiff Corries
0:0
Jun 17, 2025 Club Friendly
Caerau Ely vs Cardiff Corries
6:0
Sep 15, 2023 FA Cup
Caerau Ely vs Cardiff Corries
3:2
Mar 24, 2012 Division 1
Cardiff Corries vs Caerau Ely
0:2
Aug 17, 2011 Division 1
Caerau Ely vs Cardiff Corries
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caerau Ely 95 / 100
Cardiff Corries 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caerau Ely Cardiff Corries

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caerau Ely Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caerau Ely scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Cardiff Corries has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Caerau Ely went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caerau Ely VS Cardiff Corries
2.25 Goals Scored 0
0.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Caerau Ely

(Home)
14 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 4
Caerau Ely
07 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 1
Ynyshir Albions
01 Aug
Carmarthen Town
4 : 3
Caerau Ely
25 Jul
Caerau Ely
4 : 4
Barnstaple Town
21 Jul
Haverfordwest
2 : 1
Caerau Ely
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Cardiff Corries

(Away)
30 Jun
Caerau Ely
0 : 0
Cardiff Corries
17 Jun
Caerau Ely
6 : 0
Cardiff Corries
19 Oct
Cardiff Corries
3 : 4
Afan Lido
21 Sept
Cardiff Corries
4 : 1
Risca United
15 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 2
Cardiff Corries
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