Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Caerau Ely host Treowen in the Cymru South. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Treowen have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Caerau Ely have conceded 1.56 and scored 2.29. Head-to-head, Caerau Ely have won 2 to Treowen's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 10, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.23) point toward Caerau Ely. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Caerau Ely come out ahead of Treowen on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Treowen's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caerau Ely | Treowen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.29 | 2.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.56 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caerau Ely's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
Defensive concern: Treowen conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Caerau Ely remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Caerau Ely
(Home)Treowen
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Pontypridd United | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Treowen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | 9 |
| 4 | Carmarthen Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:9 | 9 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 7 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Newport City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 6 |
| 8 | Afan Lido | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:8 | 6 |
| 9 | Ynyshir Albions | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 10 | Cardiff Draconians | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 11 | Caerau Ely | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9:12 | 4 |
| 12 | Caerphilly | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 13 | Pontardawe | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 14 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | 2 |
| 15 | Llanelli | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:12 | 1 |
| 16 | Llantwit Major | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:14 | 0 |
