Sport Picks
Caerau Ely vs Treowen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru South 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Cymru South game between Caerau Ely and Treowen finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caerau Ely.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Caerau Ely come out ahead of Treowen on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Caerau Ely's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Caerau Ely have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caerau Ely | Treowen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.5 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Caerau Ely Compare
Treowen Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caerau Ely found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (26 games).
H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Caerau Ely remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Treowen conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Caerau Ely
(Home)Treowen
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 30:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Pontypridd United | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 3 | Aberystwyth | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22:18 | 19 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 7 | Carmarthen Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22:21 | 15 |
| 8 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 20:18 | 13 |
| 9 | Treowen | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:21 | 13 |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18:22 | 12 |
| 11 | Caerphilly | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 12 | Pontardawe | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 14 | Newport City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:9 | 8 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:21 | 8 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9:33 | 2 |
