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Caerau Ely vs West End

Wales Wales

Division 1 2013/2014
Caerau Ely Logo

Caerau Ely

1 - 0
FT
West End Logo

West End

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Caerau Ely in this Division 1 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caerau Ely.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Caerau Ely
15%
Draws
21%
West End
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caerau Ely

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Caerau Ely lately — more wins on the board than West End.
  • Model gives Caerau Ely a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and West End have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Caerau Ely Clean Sheet 20%
West End Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caerau Ely West End
Matches Played 42 31
Wins 24 7
Draws 6 2
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 2.43 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2013 Division 1
Caerau Ely vs West End
1:0
Nov 23, 2013 Division 1
West End vs Caerau Ely
4:1
Jan 21, 2012 Division 1
Caerau Ely vs West End
0:2
Sep 24, 2011 Division 1
West End vs Caerau Ely
4:2
Feb 26, 2011 Division 1
West End vs Caerau Ely
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caerau Ely 40 / 100
West End 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caerau Ely West End

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caerau Ely Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Caerau Ely scored in 83% of their last 42 outings.

West End let in goals in 97% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Caerau Ely remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Caerau Ely VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Caerau Ely

(Home)
11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0
Llanelli
31 Aug
Caerau Ely
3 : 2
Treowen
28 Aug
Baglan Dragons
3 : 1
Caerau Ely
21 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 5
Pure Swansea
14 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 4
Caerau Ely
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West End

(Away)
21 Sept
Cardiff Bay Warriors
2 : 0
West End
17 Sept
Canton
5 : 1
West End
14 Aug
West End
12 : 2
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
20 Oct
West End
0 : 6
Caldicot
31 Oct
West End
2 : 3
Cwmbran Celtic
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monmouth 30 21 2 7 78:33 65
2 Taffs Well 30 19 6 5 63:30 63
3 Penybont 30 17 4 9 77:44 55
4 Haverfordwest 30 16 7 7 59:37 55
5 Goytre AFC 30 15 9 6 49:43 54
6 Cambrian United 30 15 5 10 60:44 50
7 Caerau Ely 30 12 10 8 52:51 46
8 Aberdare Town 30 13 5 12 49:48 44
9 Goytre Utd 30 11 6 13 56:43 39
10 AFC Porth 30 10 9 11 48:49 39
11 Ton Pentre 30 9 11 10 36:47 38
12 Pontardawe 30 9 6 15 34:60 33
13 Cwmbran Celtic 30 7 5 18 40:58 26
14 Tata Steel 30 6 7 17 29:65 25
15 Aberbargoed Buds 30 4 8 18 35:65 17
16 West End 30 5 2 23 36:84 17
Promotion - Premier League 2014/2015 (Main)