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Stadium Background

Caerleon vs Bryntirion Athletic

Wales Wales

Division 1 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2012/2013 game between Caerleon and Bryntirion Athletic finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Caerleon
30%
Draws
47%
Bryntirion Athletic
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bryntirion Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Caerleon haven't matched Bryntirion Athletic's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bryntirion Athletic a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Caerleon Clean Sheet 14%
Bryntirion Athletic Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caerleon Bryntirion Athletic
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 10
Draws 3 9
Losses 24 11
Goals Scored 0.8 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2013 Division 1
Bryntirion Athletic vs Caerleon
2:0
Jan 12, 2013 Division 1
Caerleon vs Bryntirion Athletic
1:1
Feb 13, 2010 Division 1
Caerleon vs Bryntirion Athletic
3:2
Oct 17, 2009 Division 1
Bryntirion Athletic vs Caerleon
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caerleon 27 / 100
Bryntirion Athletic 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caerleon Bryntirion Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bryntirion Athletic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bryntirion Athletic has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Caerleon's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Caerleon went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caerleon VS Bryntirion Athletic
0.25 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Caerleon

(Home)
19 Oct
Pure Swansea
4 : 1
Caerleon
31 Oct
Afan Lido
2 : 0
Caerleon
03 Oct
Caerleon
2 : 1
Treharris Athletic
06 May
Caerleon
0 : 1
Taffs Well
04 May
Caerleon
1 : 2
Tata Steel
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Bryntirion Athletic

(Away)
18 May
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 1
Bryntirion Athletic
07 May
Bryntirion Athletic
3 : 3
Cwmbran Celtic
19 Apr
Bryntirion Athletic
1 : 1
Taffs Well
14 Apr
Monmouth
1 : 0
Bryntirion Athletic
09 Apr
Pontardawe
0 : 1
Bryntirion Athletic
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