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Stadium Background

Caerleon vs Cwmbran Celtic

Wales Wales

Division 1 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2012/2013 game between Caerleon and Cwmbran Celtic finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cwmbran Celtic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Caerleon
15%
Draws
42%
Cwmbran Celtic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caerleon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Caerleon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Caerleon a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Caerleon Clean Sheet 20%
Cwmbran Celtic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caerleon Cwmbran Celtic
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 2
Draws 3 7
Losses 24 23
Goals Scored 0.8 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.27 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2013 Division 1
Caerleon vs Cwmbran Celtic
0:3
Sep 1, 2012 Division 1
Cwmbran Celtic vs Caerleon
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caerleon 49 / 100
Cwmbran Celtic 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caerleon Cwmbran Celtic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caerleon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cwmbran Celtic let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Cwmbran Celtic registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Caerleon scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cwmbran Celtic
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Caerleon

(Home)
19 Oct
Pure Swansea
4 : 1
Caerleon
31 Oct
Afan Lido
2 : 0
Caerleon
03 Oct
Caerleon
2 : 1
Treharris Athletic
06 May
Caerleon
0 : 1
Taffs Well
04 May
Caerleon
1 : 2
Tata Steel
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Cwmbran Celtic

(Away)
18 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2
Ammanford Town
11 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 1
Aberystwyth
03 Apr
Afan Lido
4 : 1
Cwmbran Celtic
30 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 8
Trefelin
27 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2
Cambrian United
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