Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Ely Rangers advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ely Rangers
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ely Rangers carry the better recent record into this one.
- Ely Rangers are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Ely Rangers arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Ely Rangers, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Caerleon Clean Sheet 10%
Ely Rangers Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caerleon | Ely Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 13 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 25 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.84 | 1.92 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.19 | 2.15 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 4, 2006 FAW Welsh Cup
Caerleon vs Ely Rangers
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Caerleon 18 / 100
Ely Rangers 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Caerleon Ely Rangers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ely Rangers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ely Rangers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 13 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Ely Rangers lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Caerleon scored in 56% of their last 32 games.
Scoring Trends
Caerleon VS Ely Rangers
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Caerleon
(Home) 19 Oct
Pure Swansea
4 : 1 Caerleon
31 Oct
Afan Lido
2 : 0 Caerleon
03 Oct
Caerleon
2 : 1 Treharris Athletic
06 May
Caerleon
0 : 1 Taffs Well
04 May
Caerleon
1 : 2 Tata Steel
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Caerleon
2 : 1 Treharris Athletic
06 May
Caerleon
0 : 1 Taffs Well
04 May
Caerleon
1 : 2 Tata Steel
24 Apr
Caerleon
0 : 3 Cwmbran Celtic
18 Apr
Caerleon
0 : 2 Bridgend Town
Page 1 of 4
Ely Rangers
(Away) 21 Sept
Llantwit Major
3 : 2 Ely Rangers
16 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
4 : 1 Ely Rangers
08 Dec
Barry Town
3 : 1 Ely Rangers
10 Nov
Ely Rangers
6 : 1 Aberbargoed Buds
06 Oct
Ely Rangers
3 : 1 Bryntirion Athletic
Page 1 of 3
21 Sept
Llantwit Major
3 : 2 Ely Rangers
16 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
4 : 1 Ely Rangers
08 Dec
Barry Town
3 : 1 Ely Rangers
11 Sept
Fleur de Lys
1 : 0 Ely Rangers
31 Oct
Aberaman
2 : 0 Ely Rangers
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Port Talbot 3
Bala 0
Ton Pentre 1
Rhyl 0
Caerleon 1
Ely Rangers 2
Afan Lido 3
Bodedern 0
Holyhead 2
Presteigne St. Andrews 0
Bridgend Town 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Welshpool 2
Pontypridd United 1
Neath Athletic 3
Brymbo 2
Penrhyncoch 0
Llanelli 2
Newtown 2
Dinas Powys 0
Newport YMCA 1
Connahs Q. 3
Maesteg Park 0
Llandudno FC 1
Carmarthen Town 2
West End 0
Caersws FC 3
Buckley 0
Porthmadog 2
Bangor City 0
Pwllheli 1
TNS 2
1/8-finals
Port Talbot 3
Ton Pentre 1
Ely Rangers 1
Afan Lido 2
Holyhead 2
Bridgend Town 1
Welshpool 3
Neath Athletic 0
Llanelli 7
Newtown 0
Connahs Q. 3
Llandudno FC 1
Carmarthen Town 1
Caersws FC 0
Porthmadog 3
TNS 2
Quarter-finals
Port Talbot 0
Afan Lido 1
Holyhead 1
Welshpool 5
Llanelli 6
Connahs Q. 2
Carmarthen Town 2
Porthmadog 1
Semi-finals
Afan Lido 2
Welshpool 1
Llanelli 0
Carmarthen Town 1
Final
Afan Lido 2
Carmarthen Town 3
