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Stadium Background

Caerleon vs Goytre Utd

Wales Wales

Division 1 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2012/2013 game between Caerleon and Goytre Utd finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Caerleon
15%
Draws
57%
Goytre Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Goytre Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Goytre Utd come out ahead of Caerleon on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Goytre Utd here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Caerleon Clean Sheet 19%
Goytre Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caerleon Goytre Utd
Matches Played 32 40
Wins 4 13
Draws 3 6
Losses 25 21
Goals Scored 0.84 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.19 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2013 Division 1
Goytre Utd vs Caerleon
2:1
Feb 9, 2013 Division 1
Caerleon vs Goytre Utd
2:2
Sep 13, 2008 FAW Welsh Cup
Caerleon vs Goytre Utd
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caerleon 32 / 100
Goytre Utd 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caerleon Goytre Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goytre Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 40 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Goytre Utd lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Caerleon found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Goytre Utd
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Caerleon

(Home)
19 Oct
Pure Swansea
4 : 1
Caerleon
31 Oct
Afan Lido
2 : 0
Caerleon
03 Oct
Caerleon
2 : 1
Treharris Athletic
06 May
Caerleon
0 : 1
Taffs Well
04 May
Caerleon
1 : 2
Tata Steel
Page 1 of 7

Goytre Utd

(Away)
04 Jul
Goytre Utd
1 : 2
Barry Town
17 Oct
Goytre Utd
0 : 6
Cambrian United
20 Sept
Goytre Utd
2 : 1
Ammanford Town
15 Jul
Ton Pentre
1 : 2
Goytre Utd
28 Jun
Goytre Utd
2 : 3
Cambrian United
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West End 28 18 4 6 64:29 58
2 Cambrian United 28 17 5 6 56:26 56
3 Taffs Well 28 14 7 7 57:39 49
4 Haverfordwest 28 13 8 7 63:35 47
5 Aberdare Town 28 13 8 7 45:35 47
6 AFC Porth 28 13 7 8 39:34 46
7 Monmouth 28 13 6 9 54:43 42
8 Bryntirion Athletic 28 10 9 9 38:40 39
9 Ton Pentre 28 9 9 10 39:39 36
10 Pontardawe 28 10 5 13 34:39 35
11 Goytre Utd 28 10 4 14 33:51 34
12 Cwmbran Celtic 28 9 5 14 41:52 32
13 Bridgend Town 28 8 7 13 28:51 31
14 Tata Steel 28 5 6 17 27:62 21
15 Caerleon 28 1 4 23 19:62 7
16 Barry Town 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier 2013/2014 (Main)