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Caerleon vs Taffs Well

Wales Wales

Division 1 2012/2013
Caerleon Logo

Caerleon

0 - 1
FT
Taffs Well Logo

Taffs Well

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2012/2013 game between Caerleon and Taffs Well finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Taffs Well.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Caerleon
15%
Draws
57%
Taffs Well
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Taffs Well

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Taffs Well come out ahead of Caerleon on wins alone.
  • Model gives Caerleon a 28% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Caerleon Clean Sheet 20%
Taffs Well Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caerleon Taffs Well
Matches Played 32 42
Wins 4 8
Draws 3 9
Losses 25 25
Goals Scored 0.84 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.19 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2013 Division 1
Caerleon vs Taffs Well
0:1
Aug 28, 2012 Division 1
Taffs Well vs Caerleon
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caerleon 49 / 100
Taffs Well 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caerleon Taffs Well

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caerleon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taffs Well let in goals in 93% of their last 42 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Taffs Well registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Caerleon scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Taffs Well
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Caerleon

(Home)
19 Oct
Pure Swansea
4 : 1
Caerleon
31 Oct
Afan Lido
2 : 0
Caerleon
03 Oct
Caerleon
2 : 1
Treharris Athletic
06 May
Caerleon
0 : 1
Taffs Well
04 May
Caerleon
1 : 2
Tata Steel
Page 1 of 7

Taffs Well

(Away)
18 Oct
Cardiff Metropolitan University
5 : 1
Taffs Well
20 Sept
Taffs Well
2 : 1
Abertillery Excelsiors
04 Jul
Taffs Well
0 : 4
Caerau Ely
25 Jun
Taffs Well
4 : 1
Cwmbran Town
21 Jun
Taffs Well
1 : 5
Carmarthen Town
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West End 28 18 4 6 64:29 58
2 Cambrian United 28 17 5 6 56:26 56
3 Taffs Well 28 14 7 7 57:39 49
4 Haverfordwest 28 13 8 7 63:35 47
5 Aberdare Town 28 13 8 7 45:35 47
6 AFC Porth 28 13 7 8 39:34 46
7 Monmouth 28 13 6 9 54:43 42
8 Bryntirion Athletic 28 10 9 9 38:40 39
9 Ton Pentre 28 9 9 10 39:39 36
10 Pontardawe 28 10 5 13 34:39 35
11 Goytre Utd 28 10 4 14 33:51 34
12 Cwmbran Celtic 28 9 5 14 41:52 32
13 Bridgend Town 28 8 7 13 28:51 31
14 Tata Steel 28 5 6 17 27:62 21
15 Caerleon 28 1 4 23 19:62 7
16 Barry Town 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier 2013/2014 (Main)