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Stadium Background

Caerleon vs West End

Wales Wales

Division 1 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

West End in this Division 1 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored West End.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Caerleon
15%
Draws
42%
West End
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caerleon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Caerleon haven't matched West End's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans West End's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Division 1 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Caerleon Clean Sheet 13%
West End Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caerleon West End
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 9
Draws 3 2
Losses 24 21
Goals Scored 0.8 1.81
Goals Conceded 2.27 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2013 Division 1
Caerleon vs West End
0:3
Sep 22, 2012 Division 1
West End vs Caerleon
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caerleon 27 / 100
West End 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caerleon West End

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick West End Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

West End let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: West End has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Caerleon scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Caerleon VS West End
1 Goals Scored 1
2.33 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Caerleon

(Home)
19 Oct
Pure Swansea
4 : 1
Caerleon
31 Oct
Afan Lido
2 : 0
Caerleon
03 Oct
Caerleon
2 : 1
Treharris Athletic
06 May
Caerleon
0 : 1
Taffs Well
04 May
Caerleon
1 : 2
Tata Steel
Page 1 of 6

West End

(Away)
21 Sept
Cardiff Bay Warriors
2 : 0
West End
17 Sept
Canton
5 : 1
West End
14 Aug
West End
12 : 2
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
20 Oct
West End
0 : 6
Caldicot
31 Oct
West End
2 : 3
Cwmbran Celtic
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West End 28 18 4 6 64:29 58
2 Cambrian United 28 17 5 6 56:26 56
3 Taffs Well 28 14 7 7 57:39 49
4 Haverfordwest 28 13 8 7 63:35 47
5 Aberdare Town 28 13 8 7 45:35 47
6 AFC Porth 28 13 7 8 39:34 46
7 Monmouth 28 13 6 9 54:43 42
8 Bryntirion Athletic 28 10 9 9 38:40 39
9 Ton Pentre 28 9 9 10 39:39 36
10 Pontardawe 28 10 5 13 34:39 35
11 Goytre Utd 28 10 4 14 33:51 34
12 Cwmbran Celtic 28 9 5 14 41:52 32
13 Bridgend Town 28 8 7 13 28:51 31
14 Tata Steel 28 5 6 17 27:62 21
15 Caerleon 28 1 4 23 19:62 7
16 Barry Town 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier 2013/2014 (Main)