Sport Picks
Caernarfon vs Colwyn Bay
Wales
Cymru Premier The Oval, Caernarfon 
AI Match Summary
Caernarfon host Colwyn Bay in the Cymru Premier. Little to choose between these two on current form. Caernarfon have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Colwyn Bay's 1.38 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Caernarfon slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.38) point toward Caernarfon. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Caernarfon haven't matched Colwyn Bay's recent run of results.
- 70% — that's where the model lands on Colwyn Bay taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caernarfon | Colwyn Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caernarfon's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Colwyn Bay's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Caernarfon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Caernarfon
(Home)Colwyn Bay
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Colwyn Bay | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Llandudno FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 4 | Briton Ferry | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Barry Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 6 | Airbus UK Broughton FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 7 | Caernarfon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Connahs Q. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | TNS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Penybont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Flint Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 12 | Cambrian United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 13 | Ammanford Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 14 | Haverfordwest | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 16 | Holywell Town FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:6 | 0 |
