Sport Picks
Caernarfon vs Flint Town
Wales
Cymru Premier The Oval, Caernarfon 
AI Match Summary
Caernarfon host Flint Town in the Cymru Premier. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Caernarfon at 1.63 goals for, 1.4 against; Flint Town at 1.69 for, 1.41 against. Past meetings favor Caernarfon slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.75 - 1.44) back Caernarfon to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Caernarfon come out ahead of Flint Town on wins alone.
- Caernarfon are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Caernarfon here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caernarfon | Flint Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caernarfon scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Flint Town has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Caernarfon remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Caernarfon
(Home)Flint Town
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barry Town | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | TNS | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:0 | 10 |
| 3 | Penybont | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 10 |
| 4 | Connahs Q. | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Llandudno FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 9 |
| 6 | Caernarfon | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 7 | Cambrian United | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Briton Ferry | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 9 | Colwyn Bay | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 10 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 11 | Airbus UK Broughton FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 6 |
| 12 | Ammanford Town | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | 1 |
| 13 | Flint Town | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4:8 | 0 |
| 14 | Haverfordwest | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:9 | 0 |
| 15 | Holywell Town FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4:15 | 0 |
| 16 | Trefelin | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:14 | 0 |
