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Caernarfon vs Flint Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier The Oval, Caernarfon
Caernarfon Logo

Caernarfon

3 - 0
FT
Flint Town Logo

Flint Town

Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Jonas L.
43'
Mendes P.
43'
Piggott J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier game between Caernarfon and Flint Town finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caernarfon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Caernarfon
20%
Draws
34%
Flint Town
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caernarfon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Caernarfon come out ahead of Flint Town on wins alone.
  • Caernarfon are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Caernarfon here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Caernarfon Clean Sheet 20%
Flint Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caernarfon Flint Town
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.03 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Flint Town
3:0
Apr 12, 2026 FAW Welsh Cup
Caernarfon vs Flint Town
3:0
Dec 5, 2025 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Flint Town
1:1
Aug 22, 2025 Cymru Premier
Flint Town vs Caernarfon
2:5
Jan 14, 2025 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Flint Town
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caernarfon Compare

Top Goalscorer Clarke Z.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Evans O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Flint Town Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caernarfon 85 / 100
Flint Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caernarfon Flint Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caernarfon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caernarfon scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Flint Town has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Caernarfon remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Caernarfon VS Flint Town
3.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Caernarfon

(Home)
09 Oct
Haverfordwest
1 : 2
Caernarfon
03 Oct
Caernarfon
0 : 1
Barry Town
26 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2
Caernarfon
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1
Cambrian United
15 Sept
Llandudno FC
1 : 1
Caernarfon
Page 1 of 6

Flint Town

(Away)
10 Oct
Flint Town
0 : 1
Colwyn Bay
03 Oct
Haverfordwest
0 : 1
Flint Town
26 Sept
Flint Town
3 : 0
Ammanford Town
18 Sept
Airbus UK Broughton FC
4 : 1
Flint Town
15 Sept
TNS
5 : 0
Flint Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 13 12 1 0 44:6 37
2 Connahs Q. 13 10 1 2 30:9 31
3 Penybont 13 9 3 1 25:11 30
4 Caernarfon 13 8 2 3 37:15 26
5 Colwyn Bay 13 8 1 4 22:15 25
6 Barry Town 13 8 1 4 28:23 25
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 13 6 3 4 24:16 21
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 13 7 0 6 25:18 21
9 Cambrian United 13 5 3 5 21:33 18
10 Llandudno FC 13 5 1 7 22:23 16
11 Briton Ferry 13 3 3 7 12:22 12
12 Haverfordwest 13 3 1 9 8:19 10
13 Ammanford Town 13 2 3 8 10:32 9
14 Flint Town 13 2 2 9 12:25 8
15 Trefelin 13 1 3 9 8:31 6
16 Holywell Town FC 13 0 2 11 14:44 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)