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Caernarfon vs Llandudno Junction

Wales Wales

Cymru Alliance 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
8' Event
25' Event

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Alliance 2017/2018 game between Caernarfon and Llandudno Junction finished 8-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caernarfon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Caernarfon
15%
Draws
20%
Llandudno Junction
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caernarfon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Llandudno Junction haven't matched Caernarfon's recent run of results.
  • Caernarfon are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Cymru Alliance 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Caernarfon have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Caernarfon Clean Sheet 16%
Llandudno Junction Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caernarfon Llandudno Junction
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 20 3
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 23
Goals Scored 2.66 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.29 3.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2018 Cymru Alliance
Llandudno Junction vs Caernarfon
0:5
Sep 20, 2017 Cymru Alliance
Caernarfon vs Llandudno Junction
8:1
Oct 31, 2015 FAW Welsh Cup
Caernarfon vs Llandudno Junction
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caernarfon 84 / 100
Llandudno Junction 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caernarfon Llandudno Junction

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caernarfon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caernarfon found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (35 games).

Llandudno Junction's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Caernarfon has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Caernarfon VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Caernarfon

(Home)
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1
Cambrian United
15 Sept
Llandudno FC
1 : 1
Caernarfon
11 Sept
Ammanford Town
0 : 5
Caernarfon
04 Sept
Caernarfon
3 : 0
Flint Town
31 Aug
Caernarfon
2 : 3
TNS
Page 1 of 7

Llandudno Junction

(Away)
16 Sept
St. Asaph
1 : 0
Llandudno Junction
12 May
Queens Park
2 : 3
Llandudno Junction
05 May
Caersws FC
4 : 1
Llandudno Junction
25 Apr
Flint Town
3 : 1
Llandudno Junction
18 Apr
Llandudno Junction
0 : 5
Caernarfon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caernarfon 28 19 8 1 98:31 65
2 Denbigh 28 19 3 6 69:43 60
3 Airbus UK Broughton FC 28 17 3 8 67:42 54
4 Guilsfield 28 15 8 5 54:38 53
5 Holywell Town FC 28 14 8 6 75:37 50
6 Rhyl 28 13 8 7 62:45 47
7 Porthmadog 28 13 5 10 70:46 44
8 Gresford 28 12 6 10 57:57 39
9 Penrhyncoch 28 10 9 9 45:46 39
10 Ruthin Town 28 10 5 13 51:49 35
11 Flint Town 28 10 6 12 49:42 30
12 Holyhead 28 9 3 16 40:57 30
13 Caersws FC 28 5 3 20 39:72 18
14 Queens Park 28 2 3 23 26:110 9
15 Llandudno Junction 28 1 4 23 28:115 7
Promotion - Premier League 2018/2019 (Main)