Sport Picks
Caernarfon vs Penybont
Wales
Cymru Premier 2025/2026 The Oval, Caernarfon 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Caernarfon in this Cymru Premier 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caernarfon.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Caernarfon lately — more wins on the board than Penybont.
- Caernarfon are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Cymru Premier 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caernarfon | Penybont |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.1 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Caernarfon Compare
Penybont Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caernarfon's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Solid form: Caernarfon remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Penybont has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Caernarfon
(Home)Penybont
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNS | 32 | 26 | 2 | 4 | 81:25 | 80 |
| 2 | Connahs Q. | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 61:38 | 58 |
| 3 | Barry Town | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 43:33 | 46 |
| 4 | Caernarfon | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 56:47 | 45 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 41:37 | 45 |
| 6 | Penybont | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39:49 | 41 |
