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Caerphilly vs Cardiff Draconians

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Mace C.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South game between Caerphilly and Cardiff Draconians finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Caerphilly
20%
Draws
80%
Cardiff Draconians
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cardiff Draconians

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Cardiff Draconians carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Cardiff Draconians are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Caerphilly Clean Sheet 17%
Cardiff Draconians Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caerphilly Cardiff Draconians
Matches Played 6 30
Wins 1 13
Draws 0 4
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Cymru South
Caerphilly vs Cardiff Draconians
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caerphilly 10 / 100
Cardiff Draconians 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caerphilly Cardiff Draconians

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardiff Draconians's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Caerphilly's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Cardiff Draconians's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Caerphilly VS Cardiff Draconians
0 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Caerphilly

(Home)
01 Aug
Pontardawe
3 : 0
Caerphilly
20 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 3
Caldicot
20 Jun
Caerphilly
0 : 4
Caerau Ely
16 Sept
Abertillery Bluebirds
2 : 1
Caerphilly
04 Nov
Caerphilly
2 : 4
Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 2

Cardiff Draconians

(Away)
01 Aug
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 0
Cardiff Draconians
18 Apr
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 1
Afan Lido
11 Apr
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 2
Pontypridd United
04 Apr
Trethomas Bluebirds
4 : 4
Cardiff Draconians
28 Mar
Cardiff Draconians
0 : 1
Newport City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aberystwyth 1 1 0 0 5:2 3
2 Newport City 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Pontardawe 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
4 Pure Swansea 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
5 Carmarthen Town 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
6 Pontypridd United 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
7 Ynyshir Albions 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Trethomas Bluebirds 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
9 Baglan Dragons 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 Caerau Ely 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
11 Treowen 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
12 Cardiff Draconians 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Afan Lido 1 0 0 1 2:5 0
14 Llanelli 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
15 Llantwit Major 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
16 Caerphilly 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)