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Caerphilly vs Cardiff Draconians

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Mace C.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South game between Caerphilly and Cardiff Draconians finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Caerphilly
20%
Draws
40%
Cardiff Draconians
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Cardiff Draconians carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Caerphilly are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Caerphilly Clean Sheet 11%
Cardiff Draconians Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caerphilly Cardiff Draconians
Matches Played 13 29
Wins 3 10
Draws 2 4
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.23 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.15 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Cymru South
Caerphilly vs Cardiff Draconians
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caerphilly 38 / 100
Cardiff Draconians 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caerphilly Cardiff Draconians

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caerphilly Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardiff Draconians's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Caerphilly's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 13 recent games.

Recent resilience: Caerphilly stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Caerphilly VS Cardiff Draconians
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Caerphilly

(Home)
25 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 2
Pontypridd United
12 Sept
Caerphilly
2 : 3
Aberystwyth
04 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 2
Caerphilly
31 Aug
Baglan Dragons
0 : 1
Caerphilly
22 Aug
Caerphilly
2 : 1
Ynyshir Albions
Page 1 of 3

Cardiff Draconians

(Away)
26 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 3
Caerau Ely
12 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 1
Baglan Dragons
22 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 2
Llanelli
15 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 4
Pontypridd United
07 Aug
Caerphilly
0 : 0
Cardiff Draconians
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 7 5 2 0 22:5 17
2 Aberystwyth 7 5 1 1 19:7 16
3 Pontypridd United 7 5 1 1 18:12 16
4 Carmarthen Town 8 4 2 2 19:17 14
5 Caerau Ely 8 4 1 3 19:18 13
6 Treowen 8 4 1 3 17:16 13
7 Baglan Dragons 9 4 1 4 9:10 13
8 Afan Lido 9 3 2 4 13:15 11
9 Trethomas Bluebirds 8 2 4 2 15:14 10
10 Ynyshir Albions 7 2 4 1 7:6 10
11 Caerphilly 8 2 2 4 8:14 8
12 Newport City 6 2 1 3 9:5 7
13 Cardiff Draconians 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
14 Pontardawe 7 2 0 5 11:14 6
15 Llantwit Major 6 1 1 4 4:15 4
16 Llanelli 9 0 2 7 6:25 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)