Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caerphilly vs Ynyshir Albions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caerphilly host Ynyshir Albions in the Cymru South. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Caerphilly at 0 goals for, 1 against; Ynyshir Albions at 1 for, 1.88 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.54 - 1.00) back Ynyshir Albions to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Caerphilly
35%
Draws
56%
Ynyshir Albions
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ynyshir Albions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Very High Confidence
  • Caerphilly haven't matched Ynyshir Albions's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Ynyshir Albions taking it.
  • Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Caerphilly Clean Sheet 20%
Ynyshir Albions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caerphilly Ynyshir Albions
Matches Played 7 29
Wins 1 5
Draws 1 7
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caerphilly 12 / 100
Ynyshir Albions 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caerphilly Ynyshir Albions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YNY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ynyshir Albions has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Caerphilly scored in 57% of their last 7 outings.

Caerphilly has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ynyshir Albions's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Caerphilly VS Ynyshir Albions
0 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
33% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Caerphilly

(Home)
07 Aug
Caerphilly
0 : 0
Cardiff Draconians
01 Aug
Pontardawe
3 : 0
Caerphilly
20 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 3
Caldicot
20 Jun
Caerphilly
0 : 4
Caerau Ely
16 Sept
Abertillery Bluebirds
2 : 1
Caerphilly
Page 1 of 2

Ynyshir Albions

(Away)
07 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 1
Ynyshir Albions
01 Aug
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 0
Cardiff Draconians
18 Apr
Ynyshir Albions
0 : 0
Aberystwyth
04 Apr
Caerau Ely
2 : 0
Ynyshir Albions
28 Mar
Ynyshir Albions
2 : 2
Trethomas Bluebirds
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pontypridd United 2 2 0 0 6:4 6
2 Ynyshir Albions 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Aberystwyth 1 1 0 0 5:2 3
4 Newport City 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
5 Pure Swansea 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
6 Afan Lido 2 1 0 1 7:5 3
7 Pontardawe 2 1 0 1 5:3 3
8 Carmarthen Town 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
9 Trethomas Bluebirds 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
10 Baglan Dragons 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11 Caerau Ely 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
12 Cardiff Draconians 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
13 Llanelli 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
14 Caerphilly 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
15 Treowen 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
16 Llantwit Major 2 0 0 2 0:8 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)